Analytics
Yes is at 7%, down 43 points from 50% when the market opened on 19 Nov 2025.
The high was 60% on 2 May 2026 and the low 6% on 11 Oct 2026. A week ago Yes was at 8.5%; a month ago, 13.5%. Its largest one-day move was 25 points down, to 18% on 22 Jul 2026.
It is one of 28 markets under “Who will Trump pardon before 2027?”.
$7.98K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $11.04K, with a 4.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 133 trades, $43.21 bought Yes and $2.34K bought No.
The largest Yes position is LornaPredicts with 100 shares; the largest No position is allenzzz with 496. Ten wallets hold 83.4% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 77 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 16, 5:50 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 304 points, 19 Nov 2025 – 16 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 19 Nov 2025 | 50.0% |
| 16 Oct 2026 | 7.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| allenzzz | No | 495.64 |
| LornaPredicts | Yes | 100 |
| icariam06 | Yes | 100 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/who-will-trump-pardon-before-2027
16 more markets, none above 4.7%.
| pootytherewardfarmer |
| Yes |
| 96 |
| ineedmassage | No | 95.5 |
| AJSV | Yes | 87.26 |
| Jade Beacon E3EA | Yes | 56.52 |
| 0xblocked | Yes | 50.3 |
| SagD- | No | 26.6 |
| Hot-Skull | Yes | 26.3 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
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