Analytics
Yes is at 5.9%, down 33 points from 38.5% when the market opened on 19 Nov 2025.
The high was 59% on 19 Dec 2025 and the low 3.3% on 22 Sep 2026. A week ago Yes was at 3.4%; a month ago, 8%. Its largest one-day move was 35 points down, to 9.5% on 20 May 2026.
It is one of 28 markets under “Who will Trump pardon before 2027?”.
$2.95K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $11.23K, with a 0.10% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 78 trades, $34.07 bought Yes and $1.29K bought No.
The largest Yes position is Jade Beacon E3EA with 219 shares; the largest No position is LaPulgaLeo with 268. Ten wallets hold 85.7% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 85 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 8, 12:56 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 304 points · 19 Nov 2025 – 8 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 19 Nov 2025 | 38.5% |
| 8 Oct 2026 | 5.9% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| LaPulgaLeo | No | 267.7 |
| Jade Beacon E3EA | Yes | 218.59 |
| kittycat67 | No | 192.6 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/who-will-trump-pardon-before-2027
16 more markets, none above 4.0%.
| AJSV |
| Yes |
| 148.87 |
| thecaricature | Yes | 126 |
| Slow-Exhibit | No | 100 |
| b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD. | Yes | 83 |
| Solar Raven A90C | No | 71.42 |
| cowcat | No | 64 |
| ghorrock | No | 44.55 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
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