Analytics
Yes is at 4.2%, down 45 points from 49.5% when the market opened on 19 Nov 2025.
Across the 311 daily closes on record from 19 Nov 2025 to 27 Oct 2026 (33 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 49.5% on 19 Nov 2025 and the lowest 1.7% on 30 Jul 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 4.6%; a month before, 4.8%. Its largest one-day move was 30 points up, to 44.5% on 22 Jan 2026.
It is one of 28 markets under “Who will Trump pardon before 2027?”.
$8.47K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $15.03K, with a 0.9% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 152 trades, $233.06 bought Yes and $2.56K bought No.
The largest Yes position is eNakeVets with 1.4K shares; the largest No position is KingZeManel with 1.9K. Ten wallets hold 88.7% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 66 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 27, 8:57 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 311 points, 19 Nov 2025 – 27 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 19 Nov 2025 | 49.5% |
| 27 Oct 2026 | 4.2% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| KingZeManel | No | 1.88K |
| eNakeVets | Yes | 1.38K |
| Solar Raven A90C | No | 1.22K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/who-will-trump-pardon-before-2027
15 more markets, none above 4.3%.
| Intrepid-Threat |
| Yes |
| 500 |
| aviato | No | 489.12 |
| Oklmntrader | Yes | 480 |
| UnderwriterGCR | No | 416.9 |
| Capital-Endoderm | Yes | 397.87 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 238.01 |
| macrosteaks | Yes | 223.68 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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