Analytics
Yes is at 14%, down 9 points from 23% when the market opened on 6 Dec 2025.
The high was 54.5% on 24 Jun 2026 and the low 5.5% on 26 Jan 2026. A week ago Yes was at 13%; a month ago, 24.5%. Its largest one-day move was 39 points up, to 51.5% on 23 Jun 2026.
It is one of 28 markets under “Who will Trump pardon before 2027?”.
$33.08K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $12.24K, with a 2.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 500 trades, $818.63 bought Yes and $10.63K bought No; the largest was a $2.21K buy of No at 72.3¢.
The largest Yes position is BelieveInSomething with 2K shares; the largest No position is ineedmassage with 3.9K. Ten wallets hold 93.4% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 86 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 7, 10:04 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 284 points · 6 Dec 2025 – 7 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 6 Dec 2025 | 23.0% |
| 7 Oct 2026 | 14.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| ineedmassage | No | 3.9K |
| BelieveInSomething | Yes | 2K |
| jlso | Yes | 1.99K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between December 4, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/who-will-trump-pardon-before-2027
16 more markets, none above 4.0%.
| allenzzz |
| No |
| 328.23 |
| Dr.PNL | Yes | 322.62 |
| 757677 | No | 237.61 |
| AJSV | Yes | 93.65 |
| pootytherewardfarmer | Yes | 85 |
| 95074f700f93bdf6e62fc965e0832064c0877b04 | No | 83.05 |
| Gohst | No | 80.81 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
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