Analytics
Yes is at 3.8%, down 24 points from 28% when the market opened on 19 Nov 2025.
Across the 329 daily closes on record from 19 Nov 2025 to 29 Oct 2026 (16 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 49.3% on 29 Apr 2026 and the lowest 2.1% on 19 Feb 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 3.5%; a month before, 5.8%. Its largest one-day move was 42 points up, to 49.3% on 29 Apr 2026.
It is one of 28 markets under “Who will Trump pardon before 2027?”.
$51.9 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $5.78K since listing. The order book holds $16.59K, with a 1.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 103 trades, $47.17 bought Yes and $2.41K bought No.
The largest Yes position is Numitus1994 with 1K shares; the largest No position is ineedmassage with 762. Ten wallets hold 89.8% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 65 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 29, 2:08 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 329 points, 19 Nov 2025 – 29 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 19 Nov 2025 | 28.0% |
| 29 Oct 2026 | 3.8% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Numitus1994 | Yes | 1K |
| ineedmassage | No | 762 |
| LaPulgaLeo | No | 734.89 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/who-will-trump-pardon-before-2027
15 more markets, none above 4.7%.
| KingZeManel |
| No |
| 631.6 |
| 2B9S | Yes | 224.15 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 212.59 |
| Nadmi | Yes | 115.3 |
| eNakeVets | Yes | 100 |
| Jade Beacon E3EA | Yes | 91.18 |
| ghorrock | Yes | 62.11 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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