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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US recession by end of 2026? | Yes | 7.07K | $0.148 | $529.98 | -$516.15 |
 Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,200 (LOW) in December? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on August 24?No | sell | 5.11 | $0.070 | $0.36 | 16d ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 5.3K |
| $0.110 |
| $291.31 |
| -$293.78 |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | Yes | 1.15K | $0.259 | $121.15 | -$177.69 |
 Russia coup attempt in 2026? | Yes | 1.02K | $0.069 | $56.04 | -$14.38 |
 U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027? | Yes | 966.18 | $0.085 | $53.62 | -$28.62 |
 Will the lowest temperature in Warsaw be 14°C on September 9? | Yes | 102.33 | $0.011 | $46.56 | +$45.39 |
 Law banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026? | No | 49.58 | $0.802 | $45.37 | +$5.59 |
 Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | Yes | 50 | $0.730 | $32.25 | -$4.25 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 19°C on September 9? | Yes | 22.22 | $0.090 | $22.21 | +$20.21 |
 Will the lowest temperature in Wellington be 6°C on September 10? | Yes | 50 | $0.040 | $20.5 | +$18.5 |
 Will the lowest temperature in Chongqing be 29°C on September 9? | Yes | 21.3 | $0.090 | $19.81 | +$17.89 |
 Will the lowest temperature in Singapore be 27°C on September 9? | Yes | 50 | $0.040 | $19.5 | +$17.5 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Wellington be 7°C on September 10? | Yes | 50 | $0.040 | $19.5 | +$17.5 |
 Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the next leader out before 2027? | Yes | 854.85 | $0.011 | $16.67 | +$7.16 |
| Will Vladimir Putin be the next leader out before 2027? | Yes | 1.19K | $0.010 | $14.24 | +$2.15 |
 Will Trump pardon Donald Brodie before 2027? | Yes | 80 | $0.535 | $12.4 | -$30.4 |
 Will Jahmyr Gibbs finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most scrimmage touchdowns? | Yes | 60 | $0.377 | $11.7 | -$10.9 |
 Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027? | Yes | 237.93 | $0.130 | $11.18 | -$19.75 |
 Will the lowest temperature in Karachi be 24°C on September 10? | Yes | 49.99 | $0.040 | $10.5 | +$8.5 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Karachi be 25°C on September 10? | Yes | 49.99 | $0.040 | $10.25 | +$8.25 |
 Will any state enact a data center moratorium by December 31? | No | 36.25 | $0.080 | $9.73 | +$6.83 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Karachi be 28°C on September 10? | Yes | 50 | $0.040 | $9 | +$7 |
 Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on September 9? | Yes | 25 | $0.080 | $8.63 | +$6.63 |
 Will the lowest temperature in Buenos Aires be 12°C on September 10? | Yes | 94 | $0.020 | $7.99 | +$6.11 |
 Will the lowest temperature in Ankara be 15°C on September 10? | Yes | 56.66 | $0.030 | $7.93 | +$6.23 |
| sell |
| 34.26 |
| $0.020 |
| $0.69 |
| 16d ago |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 19?Down | sell | 1.89 | $0.120 | $0.23 | 21d ago |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 19?Down | sell | 300 | $0.120 | $36 | 21d ago |
| SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 19?Down | sell | 361.75 | $0.140 | $50.65 | 21d ago |
 Tread FDV above $5M one day after launchNo | sell | 17 | $0.324 | $5.51 | 21d ago |
 Will Trump say "Transgender" during remarks in New York?No | buy | 21.46 | $0.060 | $1.29 | 25d ago |
 Fnatic merger/acquisition announced by September 1, 2026?No | sell | 34.42 | $0.660 | $22.72 | 26d ago |
 Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31?No | sell | 5.41 | $0.550 | $2.98 | 26d ago |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in August?Yes | buy | 132 | $0.039 | $5.15 | 27d ago |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in August?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.038 | $38 | 27d ago |
| Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31?No | buy | 9.89 | $0.140 | $1.38 | 27d ago |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in August?Yes | buy | 235.99 | $0.048 | $11.33 | 27d ago |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in August?Yes | buy | 236 | $0.049 | $11.56 | 27d ago |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in August?Yes | buy | 840 | $0.050 | $42 | 27d ago |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in August?Yes | buy | 619.8 | $0.049 | $30.37 | 27d ago |
 Mykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by August 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 500 | $0.037 | $18.5 | 28d ago |
| Mykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by August 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 461.05 | $0.037 | $17.06 | 28d ago |
 Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 5, 2026?No | sell | 98.13 | $0.858 | $84.22 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 5?Down | sell | 145.91 | $0.340 | $49.61 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 5?Down | sell | 168.92 | $0.320 | $54.1 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 5?Down | sell | 20 | $0.320 | $6.4 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 31?No | sell | 277.84 | $0.056 | $15.44 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| 0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 31?No | sell | 60 | $0.067 | $4.02 | Aug 4, 2026 |
 Will AMD say "Desktop" during earnings call?No | buy | 51 | $0.060 | $3.06 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Will AMD say "CPU" 20+ times during earnings call?No | sell | 33 | $0.070 | $2.31 | Aug 2, 2026 |
 Will anyone say "Time Capsule" during Big Brother E13?No | buy | 43.99 | $0.030 | $1.32 | Aug 2, 2026 |
 Will SpaceX say "IPO" during earnings call?No | buy | 31 | $0.100 | $3.1 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 Will Russia target Kyiv by August 7, 2026?No | buy | 20.1 | $0.090 | $1.81 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 Will Germany GDP growth in Q3 2026 be less than or equal to 0.0%?No | buy | 90 | $0.090 | $8.1 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will AMD say "CPU" 20+ times during earnings call?No | buy | 85 | $0.050 | $4.25 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Will AMD say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" 20+ times during earnings call?No | buy | 85 | $0.050 | $4.25 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Will AMD say "GPU" 10+ times during earnings call?No | buy | 31 | $0.090 | $2.79 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Will AMD say "Data Center" 10+ times during earnings call?No | buy | 31 | $0.090 | $2.79 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Will AMD say "Game" or "Gaming" 5+ times during earnings call?No | buy | 30.99 | $0.080 | $2.48 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Will AMD say "Desktop" during earnings call?No | buy | 31 | $0.120 | $3.72 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Will AMD say "Desktop" during earnings call?No | buy | 31 | $0.070 | $2.17 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Will AMD say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" 20+ times during earnings call?No | buy | 31 | $0.060 | $1.86 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Transgender" during cabinet meeting?No | buy | 8.06 | $0.001 | $0.01 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Bitcoin" or "Crypto" or "Cryptocurrency" during cabinet meeting?No | buy | 100 | $0.970 | $97 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Transgender" during cabinet meeting?No | sell | 465 | $0.008 | $3.72 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Will anyone say "Nominate" or "Nominated" or "Nomination" during Big Brother E13?No | buy | 50.1 | $0.120 | $6.01 | Jul 31, 2026 |
 Will Thom Tillis vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?No | buy | 94 | $0.100 | $9.4 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Will anyone say "Nominate" or "Nominated" or "Nomination" during Big Brother E13?No | buy | 50 | $0.120 | $6 | Jul 31, 2026 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 163.13 | $0.253 | $41.27 | Jul 29, 2026 |
 Will Tarsier Pharma not IPO before September 2026?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.900 | $45 | Jul 29, 2026 |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | sell | 500 | $0.580 | $290 | Jul 29, 2026 |
 Will Misti Cordell be the Republican nominee for LA-05?Yes | sell | 0.28 | $0.011 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 |
 Will "Trump" be said 5+ times during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast?No | buy | 30.99 | $0.150 | $4.65 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Data Center" during cabinet meeting?No | buy | 20 | $0.140 | $2.8 | Jul 28, 2026 |