Analytics
Yes is at 18.5%, up 9.5 points from 9% when the market opened on 5 Apr 2026.
Across the 190 daily closes on record from 5 Apr 2026 to 30 Oct 2026 (19 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 31.5% on 2 Jun 2026 and the lowest 8% on 30 Aug 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 17%; a month before, 10.5%. Its largest one-day move was 18 points up, to 28% on 5 May 2026.
$21.03K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $473.88, with a 13.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 364 trades, $828.82 bought Yes and $8.48K bought No; the largest was a $1.3K sell of No at 90.0¢.
The largest Yes position is aenews2 with 2.5K shares; the largest No position is CircuitBoardA with 2.2K. Ten wallets hold 82.5% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 63 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 30, 10:53 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 190 points, 5 Apr 2026 – 30 Oct 2026, chart shows 0%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 5 Apr 2026 | 9.0% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 18.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| aenews2 | Yes | 2.46K |
| CircuitBoardA | No | 2.17K |
| Gorgeous-Cry-Depth | No | 1.07K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any bill with the effect of banning CFTC-regulated prediction markets from offering sports betting contracts is signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any bill that prohibits federally regulated prediction markets from offering sports betting contracts, or otherwise places such activities under state-level gambling regulation rather than federal regulatory oversight, will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government and the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/law-banning-sports-prediction-markets-enacted-in-2026
| troim |
| Yes |
| 1K |
| DFK | No | 443.59 |
| 42021 | Yes | 299.11 |
| SiliconBets | No | 219.35 |
| Sokavik | Yes | 157.14 |
| Single-Challenge | No | 151.6 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 149.26 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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