Analytics
DFK has made $40.98K on Polymarket, #4,335 on Polymarket's all-time profit board.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-24 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026? | No | 29.02K | $0.922 | $27.71K | +$943.2 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
This view does not establish the wallet’s complete trading history.
Accepted Polymarket leaderboard snapshot
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-24 19:54 UTC
Polymarket public position response
50 open positions returned; page coverage partial
2026-10-25 00:11 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
Recent fills unavailable
2026-10-25 00:11 UTC
polymarket positions
51 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-19 19:42 UTC
Rank, profit and volume come from Polymarket's leaderboard; positions, the chart and trades are read live. Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $43.57K and losing ones cost $34.66K across the latest 50 settled positions. 80% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $3.65K on “Fact Check: Maduro capture staged?” (No); the largest loss, $10.1K on “Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?” (No).
It has traded 822 markets. Its open positions are worth $257.9K across 90 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| No |
| 25.52K |
| $0.931 |
| $24.69K |
| +$929.2 |
 Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? | Yes | 20.22K | $0.951 | $19.92K | +$693.01 |
 Will Russia invade another country in 2026? | No | 14.32K | $0.907 | $13.6K | +$613.43 |
 Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026? | No | 12.62K | $0.862 | $12.05K | +$1.17K |
 Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? | No | 13.51K | $0.889 | $11.79K | -$228.23 |
 Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | No | 9.17K | $0.923 | $8.67K | +$201.19 |
 France declares state of siege (martial law) by October 31, 2026? | No | 8.16K | $0.987 | $8.09K | +$34.06 |
| France declares state of siege (martial law) by November 15, 2026? | No | 8.07K | $0.972 | $7.98K | +$138.82 |
 Will José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested before 2027? | No | 7.28K | $0.832 | $6.98K | +$927.86 |
| Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027? | No | 7.04K | $0.869 | $6.57K | +$448.03 |
 Will Jordan Bardella be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | No | 7.45K | $0.889 | $6.56K | -$69.41 |
 Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | No | 6.96K | $0.936 | $6.51K | -$4.93 |
 Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026? | No | 6.69K | $0.934 | $6.2K | -$45.08 |
 Will Delcy Rodríguez be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026? | Yes | 5.9K | $0.892 | $5.65K | +$383.78 |
 Will Marine Le Pen advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? | Yes | 6.16K | $0.815 | $5.24K | +$214.96 |
| Will Gavin Newsom be arrested before 2027? | No | 5.09K | $0.940 | $4.95K | +$163.02 |
| Will Marine Le Pen be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 5.24K | $0.883 | $4.82K | +$192.91 |
 Will Jordan Bardella leave the National Rally by December 31, 2026? | No | 4.2K | $0.942 | $4.09K | +$129.11 |
| Will Adam Schiff be arrested before 2027? | No | 4.21K | $0.884 | $4.06K | +$339.26 |
 Will the U.S. invade Colombia in 2026? | No | 3.63K | $0.965 | $3.52K | +$21.42 |
 Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? | No | 4.18K | $0.788 | $3.45K | +$155.52 |
| Will James Comey be arrested before 2027? | No | 3.13K | $0.849 | $3.06K | +$400.09 |
 French election called by December 31, 2026? | No | 2.95K | $0.914 | $2.78K | +$83.76 |
 Von der Leyen out as European Commission President in 2026? | No | 2.84K | $0.914 | $2.72K | +$127.58 |
4 of 6 axes ranked against the 118 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.
