Analytics
Yes is at 10.4%, down 40 points from 50% when the market opened on 23 Apr 2026.
Across the 188 daily closes on record from 23 Apr 2026 to 30 Oct 2026 (4 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 81.5% on 6 May 2026 and the lowest 5.2% on 20 Sep 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 7.6%; a month before, 8%. Its largest one-day move was 68 points down, to 6.8% on 8 Jul 2026.
It is one of 46 markets under “2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?”.
$489.93 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $34.4K since listing. The order book holds $1.8K, with a 7.4% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 423 trades, $1.32K bought Yes and $14.81K bought No; the largest was a $4.31K buy of No at 80.5¢.
The largest Yes position is High-Level-Precedence with 2K shares; the largest No position is DFK with 7.8K. Ten wallets hold 88.7% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jul 2027.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 30, 1:15 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 188 points, 23 Apr 2026 – 30 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 23 Apr 2026 | 50.0% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 10.4% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| DFK | No | 7.79K |
| High-Level-Precedence | Yes | 2.04K |
| Flamboyant-Warming | Yes | 1.9K |
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/2027-french-presidential-election-who-will-be-on-the-ballot
33 more markets, none above 23.0%.
| Seldon26 |
| Yes |
| 1.86K |
| mocamoca | Yes | 1.25K |
| naishz0r | No | 842.14 |
| Gohst- | Yes | 600.56 |
| AlphaGang | No | 412.8 |
| Lepolo | No | 400 |
| LornaPredicts | Yes | 309.34 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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