Analytics
Yes is at 61%, up 34 points from 27% when the market opened on 23 Apr 2026.
Across the 188 daily closes on record from 23 Apr 2026 to 30 Oct 2026 (4 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 82.5% on 1 May 2026 and the lowest 27% on 23 Apr 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 68%; a month before, 65.5%. Its largest one-day move was 35 points up, to 61.5% on 24 Apr 2026.
It is one of 46 markets under “2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?”.
$10 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $3.64K since listing. The order book holds $20.42K, with a 6.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 79 trades, $1.01K bought Yes and $402.16 bought No.
The largest Yes position is redk-001 with 376 shares; the largest No position is ymbetzzz with 245. Ten wallets hold 81.6% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jul 2027.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 30, 12:51 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 188 points, 23 Apr 2026 – 30 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 23 Apr 2026 | 27.0% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 61.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| redk-001 | Yes | 376.39 |
| ymbetzzz | No | 245.37 |
| Aching-Primate | No | 240.98 |
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/2027-french-presidential-election-who-will-be-on-the-ballot
34 more markets, none above 22.5%.
| PascalPro |
| Yes |
| 164.13 |
| DontTrustMe | No | 100.1 |
| alualu28 | Yes | 94.75 |
| Gigachain1622 | No | 81.22 |
| Moksha98 | Yes | 80.59 |
| alpheclabs | Yes | 74 |
| sla1264 | No | 70 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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