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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? | No | 1.85K | $0.715 | $1.53K | +$204.61 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will François Hollande be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?No | buy | 231.31 | $0.635 | $146.91 | 6h ago |
 |
| No |
| 1.38K |
| $0.864 |
| $1.29K |
| +$97.82 |
 Will Boris Vallaud win the Socialist Party nomination to contest the 2027 French presidential elections? | No | 944.12 | $0.728 | $921.94 | +$235.08 |
 Will the National Rally group hold fewer than 10 French Senate seats after the 2026 election? | No | 1.04K | $0.782 | $828.66 | +$18.61 |
 Will Matthieu Pigasse be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | No | 815.89 | $0.832 | $762.86 | +$83.68 |
 Will Xavier Bertrand be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | No | 900 | $0.736 | $751.5 | +$89.41 |
 Will the next UK parliament by-election be called by September 30? | Yes | 603.7 | $0.762 | $597.05 | +$136.97 |
 Will Max Verstappen retire from F1 in 2026? | No | 601.69 | $0.716 | $591.76 | +$161.17 |
 Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027? | No | 600 | $0.858 | $582.3 | +$67.3 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? | No | 600 | $0.871 | $580.5 | +$58 |
 Will Les Républicains have the second-most seats after the French Senate Election? | No | 591.43 | $0.875 | $580.49 | +$62.66 |
 Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | No | 3.75K | $0.442 | $553.79 | -$1.11K |
 NATO article 5 before 2027? | No | 536.55 | $0.845 | $506.77 | +$53.6 |
 Will NATO countries clash with each other before 2027? | No | 517.91 | $0.852 | $489.68 | +$48.42 |
 China x Japan military clash before 2027? | No | 500 | $0.836 | $467.5 | +$49.3 |
| Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | No | 458.96 | $0.827 | $450.93 | +$71.43 |
 Will the 2026 United Left primary for the 2027 French presidential election be canceled? | Yes | 460.79 | $0.681 | $426 | +$112.14 |
| Will Les Républicains hold 129-132 French Senate seats after the 2026 election? | No | 484.78 | $0.815 | $412.06 | +$17.2 |
 Will SER hold 56-58 French Senate seats after the 2026 election? | No | 500 | $0.769 | $400 | +$15.59 |
 Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by December 31, 2026? | No | 499.99 | $0.746 | $399.99 | +$26.97 |
| Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30? | No | 400 | $0.838 | $388.6 | +$53.31 |
| Trump renames New Mexico to New America by September 30, 2026? | No | 400.2 | $0.880 | $382.19 | +$30.02 |
 Will Fabien Roussel be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 418.72 | $0.536 | $370.57 | +$146.25 |
 Will Juan Branco be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | No | 419.49 | $0.810 | $367.06 | +$27.39 |
| Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Yes | 6K | $0.098 | $321 | -$265.42 |
| buy |
| 100 |
| $0.880 |
| $88 |
| 1d ago |
| Trump renames New Mexico to New America by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 300 | $0.880 | $264 | 1d ago |
 Will Ursula von der Leyen attend King Harald V's funeral?No | buy | 40 | $0.890 | $35.6 | 1d ago |
| Will Ursula von der Leyen attend King Harald V's funeral?No | buy | 82.52 | $0.895 | $73.84 | 1d ago |
 Will Emmanuel Macron attend King Harald V's funeral?No | buy | 30 | $0.900 | $27 | 4d ago |
 Will JD Vance attend King Harald V's funeral?No | buy | 141 | $0.864 | $121.76 | 4d ago |
 Will both Gabriel Attal and Édouard Philippe be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?No | buy | 40 | $0.565 | $22.6 | 7d ago |
| Will the National Rally group hold fewer than 10 French Senate seats after the 2026 election?No | buy | 25 | $0.820 | $20.5 | 10d ago |
 National Rally forms a French Senate Group in 2026?Yes | sell | 81.12 | $0.830 | $67.33 | 10d ago |
| Will Les Républicains hold 129-132 French Senate seats after the 2026 election?No | buy | 341.93 | $0.843 | $288.32 | 12d ago |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?No | sell | 1.4K | $0.999 | $1.4K | 12d ago |
| Will Boris Vallaud win the Socialist Party nomination to contest the 2027 French presidential elections?No | buy | 52 | $0.950 | $49.4 | 12d ago |
 Will Laurent Wauquiez be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?No | sell | 29.69 | $0.965 | $28.65 | 12d ago |
| National Rally forms a French Senate Group in 2026?Yes | buy | 146.82 | $0.800 | $117.46 | 12d ago |
| National Rally forms a French Senate Group in 2026?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.790 | $39.5 | 12d ago |
| Will the National Rally group hold fewer than 10 French Senate seats after the 2026 election?No | sell | 100 | $0.845 | $84.5 | 12d ago |
| Will the National Rally group hold fewer than 10 French Senate seats after the 2026 election?No | sell | 28 | $0.820 | $22.96 | 13d ago |
| Will the National Rally group hold fewer than 10 French Senate seats after the 2026 election?No | buy | 344.33 | $0.783 | $269.7 | 15d ago |
| Will the National Rally group hold fewer than 10 French Senate seats after the 2026 election?No | buy | 30 | $0.760 | $22.8 | 16d ago |
| National Rally forms a French Senate Group in 2026?Yes | buy | 46.78 | $0.810 | $37.89 | 16d ago |
| Will Les Républicains have the second-most seats after the French Senate Election?No | buy | 1.35K | $0.876 | $1.18K | 16d ago |
 Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No | sell | 2K | $0.978 | $1.96K | 16d ago |
| Will Les Républicains hold 129-132 French Senate seats after the 2026 election?No | buy | 70 | $0.779 | $54.55 | 16d ago |
| Will the National Rally group hold fewer than 10 French Senate seats after the 2026 election?No | buy | 104.12 | $0.789 | $82.11 | 16d ago |
| National Rally forms a French Senate Group in 2026?Yes | sell | 265 | $0.848 | $224.8 | 16d ago |
| Will the National Rally group hold fewer than 10 French Senate seats after the 2026 election?No | buy | 188.68 | $0.763 | $143.93 | 16d ago |
| Will the National Rally group hold fewer than 10 French Senate seats after the 2026 election?No | buy | 30 | $0.733 | $22 | 16d ago |
| Will the National Rally group hold fewer than 10 French Senate seats after the 2026 election?No | buy | 41.7 | $0.700 | $29.19 | 16d ago |
 Will François Ruffin be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?No | buy | 86.74 | $0.545 | $47.24 | 17d ago |
| Will SER hold 56-58 French Senate seats after the 2026 election?No | buy | 8.56 | $0.770 | $6.59 | 17d ago |
| Will SER hold 56-58 French Senate seats after the 2026 election?No | buy | 231.41 | $0.780 | $180.5 | 17d ago |
| Will SER hold 56-58 French Senate seats after the 2026 election?No | buy | 96.47 | $0.760 | $73.32 | 17d ago |
| Will the National Rally group hold fewer than 10 French Senate seats after the 2026 election?No | buy | 240 | $0.820 | $196.8 | 19d ago |
| Will Les Républicains have the most seats after the French Senate Election?Yes | buy | 17.69 | $0.887 | $15.69 | 20d ago |
| Will Les Républicains have the most seats after the French Senate Election?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.835 | $16.7 | 20d ago |
| Will SER have the most seats after the French Senate Election?No | buy | 50 | $0.880 | $44 | 20d ago |
| Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No | sell | 1K | $0.975 | $975.39 | 21d ago |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?No | buy | 100 | $0.850 | $85 | 21d ago |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?No | buy | 100 | $0.855 | $85.5 | 21d ago |
 Will Dominique de Villepin be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.320 | $6.4 | 22d ago |
| Will Dominique de Villepin be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | buy | 120 | $0.317 | $38 | 22d ago |
| Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No | sell | 1.1K | $0.977 | $1.07K | 23d ago |
 Will Marine Tondelier be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?No | buy | 112.1 | $0.716 | $80.26 | 24d ago |
 US takes Panama Canal before 2027?No | sell | 104.52 | $0.961 | $100.47 | 24d ago |
| Will Boris Vallaud win the Socialist Party nomination to contest the 2027 French presidential elections?No | buy | 272 | $0.720 | $195.84 | 24d ago |
| Will NATO countries clash with each other before 2027?No | sell | 111.8 | $0.961 | $107.4 | 24d ago |
| Will Boris Vallaud win the Socialist Party nomination to contest the 2027 French presidential elections?No | buy | 522.74 | $0.720 | $376.37 | 24d ago |
 Will the GTA 6 extended look be at least 5 minutes long?Yes | buy | 77.95 | $0.950 | $74.05 | 24d ago |
| Will Laurent Wauquiez be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?No | sell | 40.84 | $0.966 | $39.45 | 24d ago |