Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Jordan Bardella be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 1.86K | $0.221 | $224.76 | -$186.23 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 35.71 | $0.144 | $5.14 | Aug 2, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 236.66 |
| $0.420 |
| $201.16 |
| +$101.76 |
 Will Twice release a song in 2026? | Yes | 301.16 | $0.337 | $138.38 | +$36.87 |
| Will Nous Research launch a token by September 30, 2027? | No | 110.85 | $0.310 | $89.23 | +$54.87 |
 Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.3m barrels per day in 2026? | No | 81.96 | $0.306 | $67.21 | +$42.09 |
 Will Justin Sun meet with Elon Musk in 2026? | No | 79 | $0.396 | $65.06 | +$33.77 |
 OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026? | Yes | 116.55 | $0.400 | $58.45 | +$11.83 |
 Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? | No | 66.66 | $0.140 | $51.33 | +$42 |
 Will El Salvador hold $1b+ of BTC by December 31, 2026? | No | 59.16 | $0.390 | $34.61 | +$11.54 |
 Will Oro launch a token by December 31, 2027? | No | 85.66 | $0.360 | $33.84 | +$3 |
 Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026? | No | 37.87 | $0.290 | $33.51 | +$22.53 |
 Will Steven Snell win the 2026 Williamson County Judge election? | Yes | 42.72 | $0.390 | $27.98 | +$11.32 |
 Arc FDV above $4B one day after launch? | No | 37.47 | $0.490 | $25.85 | +$7.49 |
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 39.21 | $0.254 | $19.72 | +$9.76 |
 Will Canva's valuation hit (HIGH) $42.5B by December 31? | No | 38.12 | $0.340 | $19.06 | +$6.1 |
 Will “Widow’s Bay” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding comedy series? | Yes | 23.25 | $0.420 | $18.72 | +$8.95 |
| Will "Hacks" win 2 or 3 awards at the Emmys? | Yes | 25.64 | $0.380 | $14.1 | +$4.36 |
 Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? | Yes | 16.94 | $0.570 | $13.3 | +$3.64 |
 Will the Democratic Party win the SC-06 House seat? | No | 255.47 | $0.240 | $12.77 | -$48.54 |
 Will any Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? | No | 13.69 | $0.720 | $12.25 | +$2.4 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31? | No | 13.33 | $0.740 | $11.53 | +$1.67 |
 Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 47.16 | $0.211 | $11.34 | +$1.39 |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 22.37 | $0.446 | $11.27 | +$1.31 |
 Will Brown-Forman be acquired before 2027? | Yes | 70.71 | $0.320 | $10.25 | -$12.37 |
 Will the US strike 9 countries in 2026? | No | 14.97 | $0.667 | $10.24 | +$0.25 |
| sell |
| 19.23 |
| $0.410 |
| $7.88 |
| Aug 2, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | sell | 40 | $0.190 | $7.6 | Aug 2, 2026 |
 Israel closes its airspace by August 31?Yes | sell | 30.3 | $0.200 | $6.06 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by August 15?Yes | sell | 40 | $0.100 | $4 | Aug 2, 2026 |
 NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 33.33 | $0.250 | $8.33 | Aug 2, 2026 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?Yes | sell | 62.5 | $0.030 | $1.91 | Aug 2, 2026 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 25.64 | $0.160 | $4.1 | Aug 2, 2026 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3?No | sell | 29.41 | $0.011 | $0.32 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?No | sell | 18.86 | $0.200 | $3.77 | Aug 2, 2026 |
 Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?No | sell | 41.65 | $0.110 | $4.58 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?No | sell | 14.08 | $0.300 | $4.22 | Aug 2, 2026 |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?No | sell | 19.6 | $0.250 | $4.9 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?No | sell | 18.51 | $0.390 | $7.22 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?No | sell | 16.12 | $0.310 | $5 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?Yes | buy | 14.28 | $0.690 | $9.85 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 13.88 | $0.710 | $9.85 | Aug 2, 2026 |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 26.31 | $0.370 | $9.73 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 13.33 | $0.630 | $8.4 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Yes | sell | 90.9 | $0.480 | $43.63 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?No | buy | 18.51 | $0.530 | $9.81 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Yes | buy | 71.42 | $0.130 | $9.28 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?Yes | buy | 52.63 | $0.180 | $9.47 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 35.71 | $0.270 | $9.64 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 24.39 | $0.400 | $9.76 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 14.7 | $0.670 | $9.85 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 Will monthly inflation stay flat (0.0%) in July?Yes | buy | 28.57 | $0.340 | $9.71 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will any Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?No | buy | 13.69 | $0.720 | $9.86 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 13.33 | $0.740 | $9.86 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4?No | buy | 20.39 | $0.480 | $9.79 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes | buy | 32.25 | $0.300 | $9.67 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 47.16 | $0.211 | $9.95 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 22.37 | $0.446 | $9.97 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3?No | buy | 29.41 | $0.330 | $9.71 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?Yes | buy | 38.46 | $0.250 | $9.62 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 Iran full airspace closure by August 31?No | buy | 15.15 | $0.650 | $9.85 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 82.64 | $0.120 | $9.92 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will "Hacks" win 2 or 3 awards at the Emmys?Yes | buy | 25.64 | $0.380 | $9.74 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 25.64 | $0.380 | $9.74 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 39.21 | $0.254 | $9.96 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | buy | 27.02 | $0.360 | $9.73 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Yes | buy | 16.44 | $0.607 | $9.98 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027?Yes | buy | 86.95 | $0.114 | $9.91 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?Yes | buy | 62.5 | $0.150 | $9.38 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 350m?No | buy | 50 | $0.190 | $9.5 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?No | buy | 13.33 | $0.740 | $9.86 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 27.77 | $0.350 | $9.72 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?Yes | buy | 14.92 | $0.660 | $9.85 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 33.33 | $0.290 | $9.67 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 15.77 | $0.633 | $9.98 | Aug 1, 2026 |