Analytics
Yes is at 42%, down 8 points from 50% when the market opened on 22 May 2026.
Across the 156 daily closes on record from 22 May 2026 to 27 Oct 2026 (3 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 79% on 15 Jul 2026 and the lowest 41% on 27 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 60.5%; a month before, 60%. Its largest one-day move was 24 points up, to 73.5% on 5 Jul 2026.
It is one of 2 markets under “Will Oro launch a token by ___?”.
$17.33K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $337.35, with a 60.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 203 trades, $2.79K bought Yes and $724.84 bought No.
The largest Yes position is crazydrops with 132 shares; the largest No position is LornaPredicts with 104. Ten wallets hold 92.4% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2028.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 27, 8:13 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 156 points, 22 May 2026 – 27 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 22 May 2026 | 50.0% |
| 27 Oct 2026 | 41.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| crazydrops | Yes | 131.56 |
| LornaPredicts | No | 104.01 |
| xtxpleasecallme | No | 92.61 |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Oro (https://x.com/orogoldapp) officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Oro, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-oro-launch-a-token-by
| Seldon26 |
| No |
| 85.66 |
| pootytherewardfarmer | Yes | 85.6 |
| Dapsy | Yes | 48.97 |
| bilibobz | Yes | 39.19 |
| ScottsRoad | No | 30 |
| dropmeplease | No | 20 |
| Emerald Orbit 46AF | Yes | 20 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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