Analytics
Yes is at 83.5%, up 34 points from 50% when the market opened on 30 Jan 2026.
Across the 260 daily closes on record from 30 Jan 2026 to 28 Oct 2026 (12 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 93.7% on 3 Jun 2026 and the lowest 28.5% on 4 Aug 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 83.4%; a month before, 75.8%. Its largest one-day move was 28 points down, to 65.3% on 4 Jun 2026.
$29.23K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $595.51, with a 24.6% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 500 trades, $1.18K bought Yes and $900.48 bought No.
The largest Yes position is Gusarich with 1,000 shares; the largest No position is MaxEnt with 523. Ten wallets hold 68.6% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 66 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 28, 2:14 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 260 points, 30 Jan 2026 – 28 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 30 Jan 2026 | 50.0% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 83.6% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Gusarich | Yes | 999.98 |
| Contentious-Dinnerdate | Yes | 604.96 |
| lezzgoo | Yes | 539.08 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI achieves a public valuation of $1 trillion USD or more, or raises a private funding round that values the company at $1 trillion or more between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." To qualify, the valuation must be explicitly confirmed by OpenAI or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting. The resolution source will be OpenAI’s official communications, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/openai-1t-valuation-in-2026
| MaxEnt |
| No |
| 523.17 |
| AciliMeyvaSuyu | No | 462.86 |
| Ruddy-Warming-Snowplow | No | 400 |
| LornaPredicts | No | 387.07 |
| Viserys | No | 365.81 |
| umasoldout | No | 316.7 |
| warptrading | No | 263.15 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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