Analytics
Yes is at 41.5%, down 20 points from 61.5% when the market opened on 21 Jan 2026.
Across the 263 daily closes on record from 21 Jan 2026 to 27 Oct 2026 (17 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 61.5% on 21 Jan 2026 and the lowest 0.6% on 17 May 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 44.5%; a month before, 34.4%. Its largest one-day move was 30 points down, to 20.5% on 7 Feb 2026.
$19.02K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $99.12, with a 75.1% gap between the best bid and the best ask.
The largest Yes position is LornaPredicts with 103 shares; the largest No position is KARACAC with 130. Ten wallets hold 84.2% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 66 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 27, 9:01 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 263 points, 21 Jan 2026 – 27 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 21 Jan 2026 | 61.5% |
| 27 Oct 2026 | 46.1% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| KARACAC | No | 129.6 |
| LornaPredicts | Yes | 103.43 |
| XieGuangKun | No | 100 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Justin Sun meets with Elon Musk by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Justin Sun and Elon Musk are present and interact with each other in person. An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-justin-sun-meet-with-elon-musk-in-2026
| rajugg |
| Yes |
| 100 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 98.11 |
| Seldon26 | No | 79 |
| 2B9S | No | 75 |
| YYDS9527 | No | 46.22 |
| l492 | Yes | 42.14 |
| nc3iceibvtvetvbt | Yes | 29.03 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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