Analytics
l492 is down $865.68 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-09-25 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Khamzat Chimaev be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026? | No | 52.76 | $0.290 | $51.89 | +$36.59 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
This view does not establish the wallet’s complete trading history.
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-09-25 15:36 UTC
Polymarket public position response
50 open positions returned; page coverage partial
2026-10-26 14:06 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
Recent fills unavailable
2026-10-26 14:06 UTC
polymarket positions
51 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-09-25 15:36 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $1.44K and losing ones cost $47.49 across the latest 50 settled positions. 94% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $110.95 on “Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?” (Yes); the largest loss, $15.84 on “Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?” (Yes).
It has traded 484 markets. Its open positions are worth $1.19K across 84 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| Yes |
| 49.88 |
| $0.312 |
| $47.86 |
| +$32.28 |
 Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 46.9 | $0.886 | $43.15 | +$1.57 |
 Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 113.25 | $0.137 | $42.47 | +$26.97 |
 Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 41.4 | $0.646 | $39.58 | +$12.85 |
 Will USD/JPY hit 165 (High) in 2026? | No | 52.97 | $0.392 | $36.55 | +$15.8 |
 Will El Salvador hold $1b+ of BTC by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 65.41 | $0.314 | $30.74 | +$10.2 |
 Kraken IPO closing market cap above $16B? | No | 30.31 | $0.686 | $29.34 | +$8.55 |
 US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027? | No | 30.13 | $0.831 | $28.77 | +$3.73 |
 Supreme Court vacancy in 2026? | No | 31.53 | $0.502 | $27.27 | +$11.43 |
 Will SpaceX have between 140-159 launches in 2026? | Yes | 38.36 | $0.399 | $27.03 | +$11.73 |
 Will the Republican Party win the NY-01 House seat? | Yes | 33.32 | $0.624 | $26.15 | +$5.36 |
 Will Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 4.50% and 4.99%? | No | 26.48 | $0.785 | $25.2 | +$4.41 |
 Record crypto liquidation in 2026? | No | 24.53 | $0.810 | $23.11 | +$3.23 |
 Will the Democratic Party win the WA-05 House seat? | No | 27.26 | $0.763 | $22.87 | +$2.08 |
 Bitcoin more valuable than any company before 2027? | No | 23.1 | $0.900 | $22.75 | +$1.96 |
 Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting? | No | 22.79 | $0.473 | $22.72 | +$11.94 |
 Will Pacifica launch a token by December 31 2026? | No | 28.05 | $0.741 | $22.72 | +$1.93 |
 Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026? | No | 39.11 | $0.676 | $21.51 | -$4.92 |
 Will Trump nationalize elections? | No | 22.96 | $0.690 | $20.78 | +$4.94 |
 Will Paul Skenes win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award? | No | 20.22 | $0.780 | $20.19 | +$4.42 |
 Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026? | Yes | 57.13 | $0.176 | $19.14 | +$9.09 |
 Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? | No | 22.85 | $0.680 | $19.08 | +$3.54 |
 Hurupay FDV above $5M one day after launch? | No | 19.39 | $0.817 | $18.82 | +$2.98 |
 Will Justin Sun meet with Elon Musk in 2026? | Yes | 42.14 | $0.360 | $18.71 | +$3.54 |
Placed on fixed scales: no Radar board ranking was cached on this server when the profile was read, so no archetype is claimed. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.
