Latest trade
Apr 5, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 26, 2:55 PM UTC.
Analytics
l492 is down $865.68 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-09-25 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Apr 5, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 26, 2:55 PM UTC.
$20.13 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 50 markets; 100.0% were buys. They run from Apr 5, 2026 UTC to Apr 5, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Khamzat Chimaev be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026? | No | 52.76 | $0.290 | $51.89 | +$36.59 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the New York Knicks win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?No | buy | 12.81 | $0.850 | $10.89 | Apr 5, 2026 UTC |
 |
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-09-25 15:36 UTC
Polymarket public position response
50 open positions returned; page coverage partial
2026-10-26 14:55 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-26 14:55 UTC
polymarket positions
51 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-09-25 15:36 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $1.44K and losing ones cost $47.49 across the latest 50 settled positions. 94% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $110.95 on “Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?” (Yes); the largest loss, $15.84 on “Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?” (Yes).
Its most recent trade on record was on 5 Apr 2026. It has traded 484 markets. Its open positions are worth $1.19K across 84 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| Yes |
| 49.88 |
| $0.312 |
| $47.86 |
| +$32.28 |
 Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 46.9 | $0.886 | $43.15 | +$1.57 |
 Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 113.25 | $0.137 | $42.47 | +$26.97 |
 Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 41.4 | $0.646 | $39.58 | +$12.85 |
 Will USD/JPY hit 165 (High) in 2026? | No | 52.97 | $0.392 | $36.55 | +$15.8 |
 Kraken IPO closing market cap above $16B? | No | 30.31 | $0.686 | $29.34 | +$8.55 |
 US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027? | No | 30.13 | $0.831 | $28.77 | +$3.73 |
 Will El Salvador hold $1b+ of BTC by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 65.41 | $0.314 | $27.47 | +$6.93 |
 Supreme Court vacancy in 2026? | No | 31.53 | $0.502 | $27.27 | +$11.43 |
 Will SpaceX have between 140-159 launches in 2026? | Yes | 38.36 | $0.399 | $27.03 | +$11.73 |
 Will the Republican Party win the NY-01 House seat? | Yes | 33.32 | $0.624 | $26.15 | +$5.36 |
 Will Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 4.50% and 4.99%? | No | 26.48 | $0.785 | $25.61 | +$4.82 |
 Record crypto liquidation in 2026? | No | 24.53 | $0.810 | $23.12 | +$3.24 |
 Will the Democratic Party win the WA-05 House seat? | No | 27.26 | $0.763 | $22.87 | +$2.08 |
 Bitcoin more valuable than any company before 2027? | No | 23.1 | $0.900 | $22.75 | +$1.96 |
 Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting? | No | 22.79 | $0.473 | $22.72 | +$11.94 |
 Will Pacifica launch a token by December 31 2026? | No | 28.05 | $0.741 | $22.72 | +$1.93 |
 Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026? | No | 39.11 | $0.676 | $21.51 | -$4.92 |
 Will Trump nationalize elections? | No | 22.96 | $0.690 | $20.78 | +$4.94 |
 Will Paul Skenes win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award? | No | 20.22 | $0.780 | $20.19 | +$4.42 |
 Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? | No | 22.85 | $0.680 | $19.08 | +$3.54 |
 Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026? | Yes | 57.13 | $0.176 | $18.85 | +$8.8 |
 Hurupay FDV above $5M one day after launch? | No | 19.39 | $0.817 | $18.82 | +$2.98 |
 Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026? | Yes | 26.74 | $0.592 | $18.45 | +$2.61 |
| buy |
| 16.5 |
| $0.660 |
| $10.89 |
| Apr 5, 2026 UTC |
 Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30?Yes | buy | 127.88 | $0.160 | $20.46 | Apr 5, 2026 UTC |
 Will Southampton FC win on 2026-04-03?No | buy | 31.32 | $0.664 | $20.79 | Apr 5, 2026 UTC |
 Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 6, 2026?Yes | buy | 20.16 | $0.540 | $10.89 | Apr 5, 2026 UTC |
 U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 15?No | buy | 24.13 | $0.861 | $20.79 | Apr 5, 2026 UTC |
 Will Amy McGrath be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Kentucky?No | buy | 12.96 | $0.840 | $10.89 | Apr 5, 2026 UTC |
 Will Seattle have less than 2.5 inches of precipitation in April?No | buy | 42.88 | $0.480 | $20.58 | Apr 5, 2026 UTC |
 Cap FDV above $50M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 24.17 | $0.860 | $20.79 | Apr 5, 2026 UTC |
| Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 15.28 | $0.713 | $10.89 | Apr 5, 2026 UTC |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 53.26 | $0.380 | $20.24 | Apr 5, 2026 UTC |
 Will Liverpool finish in 3rd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?Yes | buy | 44.86 | $0.235 | $10.56 | Apr 5, 2026 UTC |
 Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?No | buy | 27.36 | $0.760 | $20.79 | Apr 5, 2026 UTC |
 Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 15.29 | $0.712 | $10.89 | Apr 5, 2026 UTC |
 Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 28.88 | $0.720 | $20.79 | Apr 5, 2026 UTC |
 Will stablecoins hit $500B before 2027?No | buy | 12.97 | $0.840 | $10.89 | Apr 5, 2026 UTC |
 Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 52.49 | $0.390 | $20.47 | Apr 5, 2026 UTC |
 Will Arsenal win a trophy this season?Yes | buy | 12.31 | $0.885 | $10.89 | Apr 5, 2026 UTC |
 Will Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship?No | buy | 12.66 | $0.860 | $10.89 | Apr 5, 2026 UTC |
 Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the Eastern Conference?Yes | buy | 71.14 | $0.285 | $20.28 | Apr 5, 2026 UTC |
 Will Tesla reach $420 in April?No | buy | 23.28 | $0.893 | $20.79 | Apr 5, 2026 UTC |
 Megaquake by June 30?Yes | buy | 44.43 | $0.230 | $10.22 | Apr 5, 2026 UTC |
 Will Clavicular get frame mogged by Gorlock the Destroyer on stream during Mog World Order?Yes | buy | 127.45 | $0.161 | $20.46 | Apr 5, 2026 UTC |
 Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026?No | buy | 36 | $0.282 | $10.14 | Apr 5, 2026 UTC |
 Will Trump say "Trump Derangement Syndrome" in April?No | buy | 69.31 | $0.296 | $20.54 | Apr 5, 2026 UTC |
 Will Ghada Omar as Yor Forger (SPY x FAMILY Season 3) win Best Anime Voice Artist Performance (Arabic) at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?Yes | buy | 25.52 | $0.404 | $10.32 | Apr 5, 2026 UTC |
 Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?No | buy | 53.58 | $0.193 | $10.35 | Apr 5, 2026 UTC |
 Will Zachary Shrewsbury be the Democratic nominee for Senate in West Virginia?Yes | buy | 68.97 | $0.148 | $10.24 | Apr 5, 2026 UTC |
 Solstice FDV above $200M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 102.67 | $0.101 | $10.37 | Apr 5, 2026 UTC |
 Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by June 30?Yes | buy | 157.85 | $0.130 | $20.46 | Apr 5, 2026 UTC |
 Will Jay Feely be the Republican nominee for AZ-01?Yes | buy | 29.21 | $0.712 | $20.79 | Apr 5, 2026 UTC |
 Will Colombia win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 27.12 | $0.766 | $20.79 | Apr 5, 2026 UTC |
 Will Silver (SI) settle over $120 on the final trading day of June 2026?Yes | buy | 86.06 | $0.238 | $20.46 | Apr 5, 2026 UTC |
 Will Real Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League final?Yes | buy | 44.17 | $0.228 | $10.08 | Apr 5, 2026 UTC |
 Will Phantom launch a token by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 40.92 | $0.260 | $10.64 | Apr 5, 2026 UTC |
 Will Ivar Stenberg be drafted 1st overall in the 2026 NHL Draft?No | buy | 14.52 | $0.750 | $10.89 | Apr 5, 2026 UTC |
 Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 76.74 | $0.267 | $20.52 | Apr 5, 2026 UTC |
 Will Nathan MacKinnon win the 2025–2026 NHL Maurice 'Rocket' Richard Trophy?Yes | buy | 15.3 | $0.712 | $10.89 | Apr 5, 2026 UTC |
 Will the Washington Capitals make the NHL Playoffs?No | buy | 25.67 | $0.810 | $20.79 | Apr 5, 2026 UTC |
 Will Real Salt Lake win on 2026-04-18?Yes | buy | 20.35 | $0.535 | $10.89 | Apr 5, 2026 UTC |
 Will CZ post 0-19 posts from April 7 to April 14, 2026?Yes | buy | 64.72 | $0.295 | $19.09 | Apr 5, 2026 UTC |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by April 30?No | buy | 24.97 | $0.832 | $20.79 | Apr 5, 2026 UTC |
 Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?No | buy | 46.41 | $0.450 | $20.9 | Apr 5, 2026 UTC |
 Will The Odyssey get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?No | buy | 22.22 | $0.490 | $10.89 | Apr 5, 2026 UTC |
 Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?No | buy | 71.1 | $0.282 | $20.02 | Apr 5, 2026 UTC |
 Will United Left (BSP) win at least one seat in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?No | buy | 46.87 | $0.437 | $20.46 | Apr 5, 2026 UTC |
 US x Iran ceasefire before Trump visits China?No | buy | 37.3 | $0.557 | $20.79 | Apr 5, 2026 UTC |
 Will Bitcoin outperform the S&P 500 in April 2026?Yes | buy | 37.3 | $0.557 | $20.79 | Apr 5, 2026 UTC |
 Will Treg Taylor advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?Yes | buy | 61.59 | $0.337 | $20.75 | Apr 5, 2026 UTC |
 Will Trump say "Six Seven" in April?No | buy | 17.32 | $0.629 | $10.89 | Apr 5, 2026 UTC |
Placed on fixed scales: no Radar board ranking was cached on this server when the profile was read, so no archetype is claimed. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.