Analytics
Resolved No on 1 May 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.7%. Yes opened at 44.5% on 14 Mar 2026. Before it settled, across the 30 daily closes on record from 14 Mar 2026 to 1 May 2026 (19 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 44.5% on 14 Mar 2026 and the lowest 0.4% on 1 May 2026. Its largest one-day move was 19 points down, to 25.5% on 15 Mar 2026. $612.98K traded over the market's life.
179 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 21, 6:19 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 30 points, 14 Mar 2026 – 1 May 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 14 Mar 2026 | 44.5% |
| 1 May 2026 | 0.4% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Theone114 | Yes | 17.08K |
| RememberAmalek | Yes | 9.64K |
| Gambling100X | Yes | 5K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, is photographed or videotaped between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify. Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market. The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Mojtaba Khamenei, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/mojtaba-khamenei-public-appearance-by
| Porx | Yes | 3.5K |
| hgsui | Yes | 2.41K |
| Live-Modem | Yes | 1.67K |
| ceres289 | Yes | 1.32K |
| PowerLawBeliever | Yes | 884.95 |
| flow-trader-at-optiver | Yes | 833.85 |
| ACara | Yes | 827.7 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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