Analytics
The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
A complete provider position result is unavailable. Missing positions and amounts are not shown as zero holdings.
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the US strike 8 countries in 2026? | Yes | 188.29 | $0.235 | $117.77 | +$73.49 |
 Will Beatriz Mojica Morga win the 2027 Guerrero Governor Election? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will New People (NL) win between 35 and 44 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?Yes | buy | 87.72 | $0.044 | $3.86 | 4d ago |
 |
| No |
| 141.2 |
| $0.446 |
| $104.35 |
| +$41.38 |
 Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 1.24K | $0.075 | $97.68 | +$4.49 |
 Will Chung Tung-chin win the next Miaoli County Magistrate election? | No | 942.99 | $0.107 | $93.83 | -$6.88 |
 Will the International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | Yes | 1.27K | $0.022 | $79.08 | +$51.25 |
| Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in December 2026 (ET)? | Yes | 899.87 | $0.018 | $74.24 | +$58.12 |
 Will the Republican Party hold exactly 54 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | Yes | 1.78K | $0.025 | $65.03 | +$20.11 |
 Will Zohran Mamdani be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee? | Yes | 1.43K | $0.105 | $61.64 | -$88.68 |
 Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 585.06 | $0.127 | $58.21 | -$16.11 |
 Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 1.49K | $0.023 | $51.29 | +$17.67 |
 Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | Yes | 694.4 | $0.052 | $50.69 | +$14.46 |
 Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 1.62K | $0.022 | $47.82 | +$12.16 |
 Will Douglas Ruas win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election? | Yes | 618.85 | $0.010 | $47.03 | +$40.84 |
 Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026? | Yes | 105.71 | $0.077 | $44.29 | +$36.17 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | Yes | 1.09K | $0.043 | $42.1 | -$5.52 |
 Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 2.65K | $0.010 | $41.03 | +$14.56 |
 Will the Republican Party hold exactly 28 or 29 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections? | Yes | 1.27K | $0.038 | $39.5 | -$9.05 |
 Will Xi Jinping purge Zhang Shengmin in 2026? | Yes | 525.21 | $0.056 | $38.87 | +$9.23 |
 Will Christine Fréchette be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election? | Yes | 159.15 | $0.139 | $38.67 | +$16.52 |
 Will the Republicans win the Arkansas governor race in 2026? | No | 1.16K | $0.031 | $38.26 | +$2.25 |
 Will the Republicans win the Alabama governor race in 2026? | No | 358.15 | $0.063 | $38.14 | +$15.71 |
 Will the Republican Party win the CO-02 House seat? | Yes | 975.8 | $0.044 | $37.08 | -$5.47 |
 Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 1.46K | $0.022 | $35.77 | +$3.65 |
 Will the Republicans win the Illinois Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 1.01K | $0.030 | $35.18 | +$4.82 |
 Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 3.5% and 3.9%? | Yes | 124 | $0.180 | $33.91 | +$11.59 |
| buy |
| 100 |
| $0.002 |
| $0.2 |
| 4d ago |
 Will Pablo Marçal win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 230.11 | $0.004 | $0.92 | 5d ago |
| Will Pablo Marçal win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 58.03 | $0.008 | $0.46 | 5d ago |
| Will Chung Tung-chin win the next Miaoli County Magistrate election?No | buy | 12.94 | $0.108 | $1.4 | 5d ago |
| Will New People (NL) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 28.57 | $0.038 | $1.09 | 5d ago |
 Will United Russia win fewer than 280 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.032 | $0.64 | 6d ago |
 Will ISM Services PMI be between 52.0 and 52.9 in August?Yes | buy | 11 | $0.027 | $0.3 | 6d ago |
 Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1510?No | buy | 10.11 | $0.438 | $4.43 | 6d ago |
| Will United Russia win fewer than 280 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.036 | $0.72 | 7d ago |
| Will United Russia win fewer than 280 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.035 | $0.7 | 7d ago |
| Will United Russia win fewer than 280 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.027 | $0.81 | 8d ago |
| Will United Russia (ER) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 18.92 | $0.003 | $0.06 | 8d ago |
 Will the Centre Party (C) win the third most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 64.62 | $0.002 | $0.13 | 8d ago |
 Putin meets with Iranian officials by August 31?No | buy | 25.12 | $0.790 | $19.84 | 8d ago |
 Will Jonas Lindberg be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Stockholm?Yes | buy | 22.7 | $0.002 | $0.05 | 14d ago |
 Does Ox Alpha belong to Zhipu AI (Z.ai)?No | buy | 100 | $0.060 | $6 | 14d ago |
| Does Ox Alpha belong to Zhipu AI (Z.ai)?No | buy | 5.31 | $0.060 | $0.32 | 14d ago |
| Does Ox Alpha belong to Zhipu AI (Z.ai)?No | buy | 0.97 | $0.058 | $0.06 | 14d ago |
 Will Humberto Ambriz Delgadillo win the 2027 Aguascalientes Governor Election?Yes | buy | 30.63 | $0.002 | $0.06 | 15d ago |
 Will Indrek Laul be the next President of Estonia?Yes | buy | 208.05 | $0.002 | $0.42 | 16d ago |
 Will the US economy have slack at the end of 2026?Yes | buy | 16 | $0.003 | $0.05 | 17d ago |
| Will United Russia win fewer than 280 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?Yes | buy | 355.83 | $0.027 | $9.61 | 17d ago |
 Will Richard Svensson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Östergötland?Yes | buy | 9.8 | $0.010 | $0.1 | 17d ago |
 Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.033 | $0.5 | 17d ago |
 Will Jenny Steen be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Örebro County?No | buy | 9 | $0.030 | $0.27 | 17d ago |
 Will Yabloko win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 105.68 | $0.002 | $0.21 | 18d ago |
 Will Carole Delga win the Socialist Party nomination to contest the 2027 French presidential elections?Yes | buy | 18.06 | $0.003 | $0.05 | 18d ago |
 Will Víctor Julio León Álvarez win the next Trujillo mayoral elections?Yes | buy | 20.45 | $0.020 | $0.41 | 18d ago |
| Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be $2.50T or more?Yes | buy | 24 | $0.004 | $0.1 | 18d ago |
| Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $2.25T and $2.50T?Yes | buy | 24 | $0.004 | $0.1 | 18d ago |
 Will Lisa Murkowski win the 2026 Alaska governor election?Yes | buy | 190.91 | $0.003 | $0.57 | 18d ago |
 Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 182.16 | $0.009 | $1.64 | 18d ago |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 33.62 | $0.115 | $3.87 | 18d ago |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 51.65 | $0.115 | $5.94 | 18d ago |
 Will Ronald Omar Venero Arango win the next Huancayo mayoral elections?Yes | buy | 10.64 | $0.027 | $0.29 | 19d ago |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 56.47 | $0.115 | $6.49 | 19d ago |
 Will the Democrats win the New Jersey Senate race in 2026?No | buy | 12.08 | $0.031 | $0.37 | 19d ago |
 Will Mark Zuckerberg be richest person on December 31?Yes | buy | 55.5 | $0.003 | $0.17 | 19d ago |
 Will the Democrats win the Tennessee Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 111.21 | $0.022 | $2.45 | 21d ago |
 Will the 2026 Guinea-Bissau constitutional referendum not occur by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 14.6 | $0.004 | $0.06 | 21d ago |
| Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes | buy | 91.54 | $0.043 | $3.94 | 21d ago |
| Will the 2026 Guinea-Bissau constitutional referendum pass?No | sell | 59.07 | $0.025 | $1.48 | 22d ago |
| Will the 2026 Guinea-Bissau constitutional referendum pass?No | buy | 115 | $0.025 | $2.88 | 22d ago |
| Will the 2026 Guinea-Bissau constitutional referendum pass?No | buy | 20.1 | $0.029 | $0.58 | 22d ago |
 Will Geovanna Bañuelos de la Torre win the 2027 Zacatecas Governor Election?Yes | buy | 36.24 | $0.012 | $0.43 | 22d ago |
| Will the 2026 Guinea-Bissau constitutional referendum pass?No | buy | 40.9 | $0.029 | $1.19 | 22d ago |
 Will Sergio Massa win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?Yes | buy | 10.26 | $0.055 | $0.56 | 22d ago |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day?Yes | buy | 88.72 | $0.163 | $14.46 | 22d ago |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day?Yes | buy | 122.69 | $0.163 | $20 | 22d ago |