
Yes is at 4.5%, down 38 points from 42.5% when the market opened on 31 Dec 2025.
Across the 268 daily closes on record from 31 Dec 2025 to 24 Oct 2026 (31 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 62% on 5 Jan 2026 and the lowest 4.5% on 24 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 5.5%; a month before, 4.5%. Its largest one-day move was 18 points up, to 40.5% on 23 Feb 2026.
It is one of 2 markets under “Will Phantom launch a token by ___?”.
$124.86 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $40.12K since listing. The order book holds $5K, with a 0.5% gap between the best bid and the best ask.
The largest Yes position is LemonBrothers with 4.3K shares; the largest No position is lexaman.eth with 1.7K. Ten wallets hold 63% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 69 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 24, 6:50 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 268 points, 31 Dec 2025 – 24 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 31 Dec 2025 | 42.5% |
| 24 Oct 2026 | 4.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| LemonBrothers | Yes | 4.26K |
| Mld1pwnz | Yes | 2.02K |
| bartdump | Yes | 1.89K |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Phantom officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Phantom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-phantom-launch-a-token-by
| lexaman.eth |
| No |
| 1.72K |
| Crytor | Yes | 1.1K |
| javarisjavarjavarisonlamar | No | 1K |
| Rapid Maven 2EF4 | No | 949.48 |
| SunnySunday | No | 860 |
| miren | No | 717.95 |
| JackGarlow | No | 644.62 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page