Analytics
Yes is at 1.6%, down 30 points from 32% when the market opened on 13 Nov 2025.
The high was 37.9% on 26 Jun 2026 and the low 1.6% on 16 Oct 2026. A week ago Yes was at 1.8%; a month ago, 2.9%. Its largest one-day move was 30 points down, to 7.8% on 27 Jun 2026.
$10K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $2.55K, with a 0.6% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 306 trades, $435.27 bought Yes and $1.89K bought No.
The largest Yes position is AJSV with 1.1K shares; the largest No position is Alegrandebig with 1.9K. Ten wallets hold 77.6% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 71 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 22, 11:26 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 336 points, 13 Nov 2025 – 22 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 13 Nov 2025 | 32.0% |
| 22 Oct 2026 | 1.6% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Alegrandebig | No | 1.86K |
| AJSV | Yes | 1.11K |
| BornAgain26 | Yes | 363.57 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET, the market capitalization of Bitcoin (BTC) exceeds the market capitalization of the largest publicly traded company in the world. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." Market cap values for both BTC and companies will be taken directly from Google Finance. If Google Finance is unavailable, a consensus of credible financial data providers will be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-more-valuable-than-any-company-before-2027
| JanAMEX |
| No |
| 356.74 |
| Cobalt Pioneer 3CFB | Yes | 267.58 |
| b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD. | Yes | 214.66 |
| Polyboobies | Yes | 200 |
| selectmax | Yes | 144.01 |
| DownInNO | No | 143.37 |
| neutralwave23 | Yes | 126.95 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
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