Analytics
Paper trading
Resolved Yes on 19 May 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 92.2%. Yes opened at 68.5% on 5 Feb 2026. Before it settled, the high was 92.2% on 19 May 2026 and the low 4.5% on 13 May 2026. Its largest one-day move was 61 points up, to 77.5% on 15 May 2026. $382.18K traded over the market's life.
118 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 20, 8:29 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 73 points, 5 Feb 2026 – 19 May 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 5 Feb 2026 | 68.5% |
| 19 May 2026 | 92.2% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| 99problems123 | No | 10.2K |
| 7153649820 | No | 6K |
| troim | No | 5K |
| DonAntimatter | Yes | 3.09K |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's Gemini 3.5 model is made available to the general public by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." For this market to resolve to "Yes," Gemini 3.5 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public. Gemini 3.5 refers to a product explicitly named Gemini 3.5 (e.g., Gemini 3.5 Pro would count), or one that is recognized as a successor to Gemini 3, similar to the progression from Gemini 2.0 to Gemini 2.5. Products labeled as Gemini 4 or similar will not count for this market's resolution. Additional Gemini 3 models (e.g. a release of Gemini 3 Flash-lite) will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/gemini-3pt5-released-by-june-30
| thisisthewaymamba | No | 2.67K |
| labistiiia | No | 2K |
| readyplayer6 | No | 1K |
| Useful-Skating | No | 1K |
| Swift Ledger 551A | No | 933.63 |
| nikitaxce | No | 600 |
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