Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026? | No | 1.98K | $0.753 | $1.81K | +$321.62 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.7K | $0.310 | $527 | Mar 9, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 88.37 |
| $0.640 |
| $56.56 |
| Mar 9, 2026 |
 Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?No | buy | 2.96K | $0.680 | $2.01K | Mar 9, 2026 |
 Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?Yes | buy | 1.04K | $0.700 | $728 | Mar 9, 2026 |
| Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?Yes | buy | 2.05K | $0.660 | $1.35K | Mar 9, 2026 |
 Will Google have the top AI model at the end of March 2026?No | sell | 30 | $0.840 | $25.2 | Mar 9, 2026 |
 DeepSeek V4 released by March 15?Yes | buy | 938.34 | $0.350 | $328.42 | Feb 23, 2026 |
| DeepSeek V4 released by March 31?Yes | buy | 318.51 | $0.596 | $189.84 | Feb 23, 2026 |
 Will Artemis II launch by March 31?Yes | sell | 2.8K | $0.019 | $52.27 | Feb 22, 2026 |
| DeepSeek V4 released by March 15?Yes | buy | 314 | $0.660 | $207.24 | Feb 16, 2026 |
| DeepSeek V4 released by March 15?Yes | buy | 189 | $0.660 | $124.74 | Feb 16, 2026 |
| Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?Yes | buy | 49.43 | $0.720 | $35.59 | Feb 16, 2026 |
| Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 51.15 | $0.670 | $34.27 | Feb 13, 2026 |
| Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 3K | $0.690 | $2.07K | Feb 13, 2026 |
| Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 45.16 | $0.680 | $30.71 | Feb 13, 2026 |
| Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 64 | $0.680 | $43.52 | Feb 13, 2026 |
| Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.660 | $6.6 | Feb 13, 2026 |
| Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.650 | $9.75 | Feb 13, 2026 |
| Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 72 | $0.650 | $46.8 | Feb 13, 2026 |
| Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 418.63 | $0.650 | $271.91 | Feb 13, 2026 |
| Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 405.99 | $0.620 | $251.6 | Feb 13, 2026 |
| DeepSeek V4 released by March 15?Yes | buy | 87.65 | $0.700 | $61.36 | Feb 13, 2026 |
| DeepSeek V4 released by March 15?Yes | buy | 16.83 | $0.680 | $11.44 | Feb 13, 2026 |
| Will Claude 5 be released by February 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 100.02 | $0.910 | $91.02 | Feb 5, 2026 |
| Will Claude 5 be released by February 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 474.1 | $0.910 | $431.43 | Feb 5, 2026 |
| Will Claude 5 be released by February 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 364.74 | $0.900 | $328.27 | Feb 5, 2026 |
| Will Claude 5 not be released by February 28, 2026?No | buy | 735 | $0.909 | $668.44 | Feb 5, 2026 |
 Will Trump meet with Delcy Rodríguez by February 15?No | sell | 1.07K | $0.949 | $1.02K | Feb 5, 2026 |
 Will fewer than 30 tornadoes occur in the United States in January 2026?Yes | sell | 700.54 | $0.982 | $687.67 | Feb 5, 2026 |
| Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 644.54 | $0.942 | $607.39 | Feb 5, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?No | sell | 4 | $0.975 | $3.9 | Feb 5, 2026 |
 Will Khamenei leave Iran by February 28, 2026?No | sell | 463.07 | $0.976 | $451.96 | Feb 5, 2026 |
| Will Khamenei leave Iran by February 28, 2026?No | sell | 461.08 | $0.976 | $450.01 | Feb 5, 2026 |
 GPT-5.3 released by February 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 52.13 | $0.880 | $45.87 | Feb 5, 2026 |
| GPT-5.3 released by February 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.52K | $0.870 | $1.32K | Feb 5, 2026 |
| Will Artemis II launch by February 28?Yes | sell | 2.13K | $0.006 | $12.37 | Feb 5, 2026 |
 Another critical Cloudflare incident by February 28?No | buy | 1.38K | $0.840 | $1.16K | Feb 4, 2026 |
| Will Artemis II launch by March 31?Yes | buy | 13.15 | $0.530 | $6.97 | Feb 4, 2026 |
 Grok 4.20 released by April 20?No | buy | 3.49K | $0.047 | $162.39 | Feb 4, 2026 |
| DeepSeek V4 released by March 31?Yes | buy | 951.3 | $0.886 | $842.58 | Feb 4, 2026 |
| GPT-5.3 released by February 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.12K | $0.878 | $988.14 | Feb 4, 2026 |
| GPT-5.3 released by February 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.870 | $870 | Feb 4, 2026 |
| Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of February 2026?No | buy | 138.79 | $0.200 | $27.76 | Feb 4, 2026 |
 Will OpenAI have the #1 AI model at the end of February 2026?Yes | buy | 3.01K | $0.037 | $111.35 | Feb 4, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI have the #1 AI model at the end of February 2026?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.036 | $10.8 | Feb 4, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI have the #1 AI model at the end of February 2026?Yes | buy | 466.19 | $0.029 | $13.32 | Feb 4, 2026 |
 Will xAI have the #1 AI model at the end of February 2026?Yes | buy | 170.91 | $0.093 | $15.86 | Feb 4, 2026 |
| Will Claude 5 be released by February 28, 2026?No | sell | 71.13 | $0.150 | $10.67 | Feb 4, 2026 |
| GPT-5.3 released by February 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 359.82 | $0.900 | $323.84 | Feb 4, 2026 |
| Will Claude 5 be released by February 28, 2026?No | sell | 20 | $0.160 | $3.2 | Feb 4, 2026 |