Analytics
Yes is at 5.3%, down 25 points from 30% when the market opened on 6 Jan 2026.
Across the 257 daily closes on record from 6 Jan 2026 to 25 Oct 2026 (37 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 30% on 6 Jan 2026 and the lowest 3.2% on 30 Jun 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 5.6%; a month before, 7.3%. Its largest one-day move was 10 points up, to 26% on 23 Jan 2026.
$72.41K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $4.68K, with a 0.8% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 500 trades, $1.57K bought Yes and $13.88K bought No; the largest was a $1.71K buy of No at 87.0¢.
The largest Yes position is trevorbish with 3.2K shares; the largest No position is cryptoincome with 2.9K. Ten wallets hold 78.5% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 68 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 25, 1:52 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 257 points, 6 Jan 2026 – 25 Oct 2026, chart shows 0%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 6 Jan 2026 | 30.0% |
| 25 Oct 2026 | 5.3% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| trevorbish | Yes | 3.16K |
| cryptoincome | No | 2.88K |
| Pokerfacekiss | Yes | 1.61K |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a total crypto liquidations event exceeds the highest liquidation amount ever recorded ($19.16B) at any point in 2026, as tracked by CoinGlass. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.” The resolution source will be CoinGlass liquidation data (https://www.coinglass.com/LiquidationData), specifically the “Top 10 Crypto Liquidation Events of All Time.” If CoinGlass data becomes permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/record-crypto-liquidation-in-2026
| javarisjavarjavarisonlamar |
| No |
| 1.5K |
| azdaniel11 | No | 500 |
| MilliChad | Yes | 380 |
| elmcap2 | No | 307.22 |
| trades135 | Yes | 299.96 |
| ZeroSigma | No | 290.28 |
| Hiiho | No | 245.92 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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