Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | No | 400 | $0.905 | $383.8 | +$21.8 |
 Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau engaged by end of 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?No | buy | 151.36 | $0.661 | $100 | Aug 11, 2026 |
| No |
| 303.86 |
| $0.772 |
| $279.55 |
| +$44.79 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027? | No | 238.1 | $0.840 | $205.95 | +$5.95 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026? | No | 207.76 | $0.963 | $205.79 | +$5.79 |
 Will Venezuela become 51st state? | No | 90.16 | $0.961 | $88.05 | +$1.42 |
 Will Tesla release Optimus by December 31, 2026? | No | 39.27 | $0.850 | $37.72 | +$4.34 |
 Record crypto liquidation in 2026? | Yes | 380 | $0.265 | $37.43 | -$63.17 |
 Felix Protocol FDV above $25M one day after launch? | Yes | 219.78 | $0.846 | $28.57 | -$157.43 |
 Will Pudgy Penguins floor price reach 10 ETH before 2027? | No | 21.83 | $0.760 | $20.18 | +$3.59 |
 Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | No | 20 | $0.682 | $12.45 | -$1.19 |
 Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 100 | $0.240 | $1.05 | -$22.95 |
| buy |
| 76.65 |
| $0.315 |
| $24.17 |
| Jul 31, 2026 |
| UFC Fight Night: Jan Blachowicz vs. Navajo Stirling (Light Heavyweight, Main Card) AND UFC Fight Night: Mateusz Gamrot vs. Quillan Salkilld (Lightweight, Main Card) | buy | 96.31 | $0.352 | $33.9 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?No | buy | 238.1 | $0.840 | $200 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 207.76 | $0.963 | $200 | Jul 19, 2026 |
 Will Messi and Ronaldo Shake Hands During World Cup?No | buy | 200.9 | $0.996 | $200 | Jul 19, 2026 |
 Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?Yes | sell | 202.12 | $0.996 | $201.31 | May 9, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.999 | $199.8 | May 9, 2026 |
 Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 102.04 | $0.980 | $100 | May 8, 2026 |
 Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 101.94 | $0.981 | $100 | May 8, 2026 |
 Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 101.63 | $0.984 | $100 | May 8, 2026 |
| Will Venezuela become 51st state?No | buy | 65.1 | $0.956 | $62.24 | Apr 6, 2026 |
 MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?No | buy | 518.67 | $0.964 | $500 | Apr 3, 2026 |
 Nikita Bier out as Head of Product at X by March 31?No | buy | 100 | $0.993 | $99.3 | Mar 27, 2026 |
| Will Tesla release Optimus by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 108.02 | $0.926 | $100 | Mar 26, 2026 |
 Will Clavicular be Iran's next Supreme Leader by March 31st?No | sell | 100.79 | $0.999 | $100.69 | Mar 26, 2026 |
 Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?No | buy | 102.47 | $0.987 | $101.14 | Mar 19, 2026 |
 Backpack FDV above $5B one day after launch?No | sell | 100.98 | $0.999 | $100.88 | Mar 19, 2026 |
| Will Clavicular be Iran's next Supreme Leader by March 31st?No | buy | 100.79 | $0.998 | $100.59 | Mar 12, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.004 | $1 | Feb 20, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 201.51 | $0.938 | $189 | Feb 20, 2026 |
 Will Deutsche Bank fail by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 101.72 | $0.968 | $98.46 | Feb 18, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.230 | $23 | Feb 18, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.230 | $23 | Feb 18, 2026 |
| Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?Yes | buy | 102.13 | $0.470 | $48 | Feb 18, 2026 |
| Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.470 | $47 | Feb 18, 2026 |
| MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?No | buy | 410.83 | $0.974 | $400 | Feb 18, 2026 |
 Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?No | buy | 417.54 | $0.958 | $400 | Feb 7, 2026 |
 Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X?Yes | buy | 234.12 | $0.850 | $199 | Feb 4, 2026 |
| Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X?No | sell | 202.27 | $0.150 | $30.34 | Feb 4, 2026 |
| Backpack FDV above $5B one day after launch?No | buy | 100.98 | $0.980 | $99 | Feb 2, 2026 |
| Backpack FDV above $2B one day after launch?No | buy | 127.66 | $0.940 | $120 | Feb 2, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?No | buy | 259.74 | $0.770 | $200 | Jan 22, 2026 |
 Will Ethena dip to $0.12 in January?Yes | buy | 208.91 | $0.037 | $7.8 | Jan 22, 2026 |
 Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 103.85 | $0.034 | $3.5 | Jan 15, 2026 |
 Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 101.56 | $0.064 | $6.5 | Jan 15, 2026 |
 Will the ECB announce no change at the February 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 201.73 | $0.972 | $196 | Jan 15, 2026 |
 No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 301.02 | $0.980 | $295 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 13, 2026?No | buy | 95.03 | $0.947 | $90 | Jan 13, 2026 |
 Will December 2025 be the 2nd hottest on record?No | buy | 5.59 | $0.999 | $5.58 | Jan 10, 2026 |
 Will 120 or more tornadoes occur in the United States in December?No | buy | 99.1 | $0.999 | $99 | Jan 10, 2026 |
| Will 120 or more tornadoes occur in the United States in December?No | buy | 99.1 | $0.999 | $99 | Jan 10, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Toronto be -3°C or below on January 11?No | buy | 99.1 | $0.999 | $99 | Jan 10, 2026 |
 Israel nuclear weapon use against Iran by January 31?No | buy | 50.3 | $0.994 | $50 | Jan 10, 2026 |
 US strike on Mexico by January 31?No | buy | 212.38 | $0.942 | $200 | Jan 10, 2026 |
 Trove FDV above $20M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.550 | $55 | Jan 10, 2026 |
 Will Theo launch a token by March 31 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.400 | $40 | Jan 10, 2026 |
 Football.Fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?No | buy | 200.58 | $0.867 | $174 | Jan 10, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 103.17 | $0.126 | $13 | Jan 9, 2026 |