Analytics
Yes is at 1.9%, down 22 points from 23.5% when the market opened on 13 Jan 2026.
Across the 254 daily closes on record from 13 Jan 2026 to 28 Oct 2026 (35 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 23.5% on 13 Jan 2026 and the lowest 1.9% on 21 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 1.9%; a month before, 4.2%. Its largest one-day move was 6.1 points up, to 11.2% on 18 Jun 2026.
$40 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $51.66K since listing. The order book holds $23.96K, with a 0.4% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 500 trades, $263.05 bought Yes and $14.44K bought No.
The largest Yes position is TemniiKitty with 644 shares; the largest No position is cowcat with 2.2K. Ten wallets hold 69.9% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 66 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 28, 2:08 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 254 points, 13 Jan 2026 – 28 Oct 2026, chart shows 0%–30%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 13 Jan 2026 | 23.5% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 1.9% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| cowcat | No | 2.18K |
| 57284910 | No | 988.11 |
| TemniiKitty | Yes | 644.09 |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Greenland holds an independence referendum and a majority of voters in the referendum vote for independence by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A referendum to join a country other than Denmark will be considered to be a referendum for independence. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of Greenland and/or Denmark; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-greenland-vote-for-independence-in-2026
| Akex76 |
| Yes |
| 500 |
| ololololololololo | Yes | 429.42 |
| Dze5 | Yes | 400.92 |
| Numitus1994 | Yes | 399.48 |
| 64MGX75VLQ | No | 300.09 |
| Ecstatic-Veto | No | 300 |
| bamsebt | Yes | 208.33 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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