Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | No | 450K | $0.865 | $416.25K | +$27.06K |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No | buy | 9.45K | $0.113 | $1.07K | Aug 1, 2026 |
|
| No |
| 88.89K |
| $0.860 |
| $84K |
| +$7.56K |
 Fed rate hike in 2026? | No | 48.62K | $0.244 | $12.88K | +$1.04K |
 Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026? | No | 2.49K | $0.913 | $2.35K | +$79.71 |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | No | 33.21K | $0.112 | $2.34K | -$1.37K |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes | 12.35K | $0.290 | $1.79K | -$1.79K |
| Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027? | No | 1.63K | $0.800 | $1.4K | +$89.75 |
 Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? | Yes | 4.84K | $0.270 | $435.63 | -$871.27 |
 Russia x Ukraine Peace Combo | Yes | 3.01K | $0.230 | $195.67 | -$496.71 |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | Yes | 247.74 | $0.500 | $184.57 | +$60.7 |
 Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? | Yes | 2.33K | $0.110 | $151.58 | -$104.92 |
 Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | Yes | 247.74 | $0.500 | $53.39 | -$70.48 |
 Will Greenland vote for independence in 2026? | Yes | 429.42 | $0.140 | $18.25 | -$41.87 |
| Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 24.89K | $0.020 | $12.45 | -$478.58 |
| Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 20.67K | $0.011 | $10.34 | -$217.06 |
 Will Dogecoin reach $0.52 by December 31, 2026? | No | 10 | $0.500 | $9.56 | +$4.56 |
 Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | Yes | 247.74 | $0.500 | $7.06 | -$116.81 |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | No | 5 | $0.270 | $1.28 | -$0.08 |
 Will Yabloko gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | Yes | 247.74 | $0.500 | $0.87 | -$123 |
 Will A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | Yes | 247.74 | $0.500 | $0.37 | -$123.5 |
 Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | Yes | 29.19 | $0.015 | $0.34 | -$0.1 |
 Will Civic Platform (GP) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | Yes | 247.74 | $0.500 | $0.12 | -$123.75 |
 Will Rodina gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | Yes | 247.74 | $0.500 | $0.12 | -$123.75 |
| buy |
| 11.57K |
| $0.109 |
| $1.26K |
| Jul 31, 2026 |
| Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.72K | $0.110 | $189.71 | Jul 30, 2026 |
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 111.11K | $0.003 | $333.33 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Fed rate hike in 2026?No | buy | 514.64 | $0.230 | $118.37 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Fed rate hike in 2026?No | buy | 14.77K | $0.230 | $3.4K | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 5.56K | $0.910 | $5.06K | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Fed rate hike in 2026?No | buy | 353 | $0.230 | $81.19 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Fed rate hike in 2026?No | buy | 4.43K | $0.290 | $1.28K | Jul 25, 2026 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 9.32K | $0.880 | $8.2K | Jun 27, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 227.89 | $0.070 | $15.95 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?No | buy | 178.8 | $0.159 | $28.47 | Apr 15, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?No | buy | 2.53K | $0.450 | $1.14K | Apr 12, 2026 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?Yes | buy | 29.65K | $0.080 | $2.37K | Apr 12, 2026 |
 Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 18, 2026?Yes | buy | 802.61 | $0.190 | $152.5 | Apr 10, 2026 |
| Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 12, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.56K | $0.080 | $444.4 | Apr 10, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?Yes | buy | 1.04K | $0.070 | $72.66 | Apr 10, 2026 |
| Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 12, 2026?Yes | buy | 7.78K | $0.080 | $622.16 | Apr 10, 2026 |
 US x Iran meeting by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 13.35K | $0.031 | $413.94 | Apr 10, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?Yes | buy | 1.82K | $0.070 | $127.35 | Apr 9, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?No | buy | 15 | $0.230 | $3.45 | Apr 9, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?No | buy | 824.21 | $0.130 | $107.15 | Apr 9, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?No | buy | 49.66K | $0.669 | $33.24K | Mar 21, 2026 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 50.82K | $0.870 | $44.22K | Mar 21, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?No | buy | 328.09 | $0.620 | $203.42 | Mar 20, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Yes | buy | 8.78K | $0.260 | $2.28K | Mar 20, 2026 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 22.22K | $0.870 | $19.33K | Mar 20, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?No | buy | 443.45 | $0.590 | $261.64 | Mar 20, 2026 |
 Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?Yes | buy | 411.62 | $0.345 | $142.01 | Mar 9, 2026 |
 Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 5, 2026?No | buy | 18.65K | $0.029 | $539.71 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 7, 2026?No | buy | 164.77 | $0.060 | $9.89 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 4, 2026?No | buy | 179.14 | $0.050 | $8.96 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 6, 2026?No | buy | 200 | $0.130 | $26 | Mar 2, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?Yes | buy | 591.66 | $0.120 | $71 | Mar 1, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No | buy | 123.72K | $0.004 | $494.87 | Mar 1, 2026 |
 Khamenei seen in public by March 7?Yes | buy | 240.2 | $0.002 | $0.48 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Khamenei seen in public by March 14?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.002 | $0.04 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No | buy | 3.5K | $0.033 | $115.5 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?No | buy | 2.11K | $0.030 | $63.22 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?No | buy | 15.22K | $0.750 | $11.41K | Feb 28, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?Yes | buy | 11.01K | $0.019 | $207.66 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?No | buy | 13.37K | $0.810 | $10.83K | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Yes | sell | 112.97 | $0.370 | $41.8 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?No | buy | 790.06 | $0.490 | $387.13 | Feb 18, 2026 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 25.03K | $0.890 | $22.28K | Feb 15, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 6.29K | $0.560 | $3.52K | Feb 1, 2026 |
| Will Dogecoin reach $0.52 by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.070 | $0.7 | Jan 31, 2026 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 652.63K | $0.003 | $1.96K | Jan 28, 2026 |
| Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 29.19 | $0.015 | $0.44 | Jan 28, 2026 |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No | buy | 5 | $0.270 | $1.35 | Jan 28, 2026 |