Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | No | 530.29 | $0.789 | $442.79 | +$24.37 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 0.07 | $0.340 | $0.02 | 9m ago |
|
| Yes |
| 513.34 |
| $0.575 |
| $315.7 |
| +$20.61 |
 Will Trump and Putin not meet? | Yes | 530.33 | $0.395 | $180.31 | -$29.03 |
 Will Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026? | No | 559.31 | $0.188 | $75.51 | -$29.82 |
 Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by December 31? | No | 47.69 | $0.803 | $42.2 | +$3.93 |
 Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)? | No | 44.95 | $0.624 | $29.22 | +$1.18 |
 Will Donald Trump visit Ukraine in 2026? | No | 24.04 | $0.930 | $22.24 | -$0.12 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 60.65 | $0.366 | $21.23 | -$1 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | No | 25.89 | $0.650 | $16.83 | +$0 |
 Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MS-03 House election by 40% or more? | No | 15 | $0.920 | $14.03 | +$0.23 |
 Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CT-05 House election by 25%-30%? | No | 15.22 | $0.900 | $13.93 | +$0.23 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MS-03 House election by 35%-40%? | No | 15 | $0.950 | $13.81 | -$0.44 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MS-03 House election by 25%-30%? | No | 15 | $0.910 | $13.73 | +$0.08 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MS-03 House election by 10%-15%? | No | 15 | $0.880 | $13.58 | +$0.38 |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CT-05 House election by 20%-25%? | No | 15.22 | $0.890 | $12.94 | -$0.61 |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CT-05 House election by 10%-15%? | No | 15.22 | $0.890 | $12.86 | -$0.68 |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CT-05 House election by 5%-10%? | No | 15.22 | $0.650 | $12.71 | +$2.82 |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CT-05 House election by 15%-20%? | No | 15.22 | $0.910 | $12.63 | -$1.22 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MS-03 House election by 20%-25%? | No | 15 | $0.770 | $12.53 | +$0.98 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MS-03 House election by 15%-20%? | No | 15 | $0.900 | $12.53 | -$0.98 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MS-03 House election by 0%-10%? | No | 15 | $0.910 | $12.45 | -$1.2 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MS-03 House election by 30%-35%? | No | 15 | $0.800 | $12.45 | +$0.45 |
| Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)? | Yes | 24.64 | $0.345 | $8.62 | +$0.13 |
 Will Mika Biereth (Monaco) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 Ligue 1 season? | No | 7.68 | $0.846 | $7.6 | +$1.1 |
 Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 8.29 | $0.801 | $7.46 | +$0.82 |
| sell |
| 0.12 |
| $0.330 |
| $0.04 |
| 10m ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 0.12 | $0.330 | $0.04 | 10m ago |
| Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?No | buy | 7.19 | $0.680 | $4.89 | 10m ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 0.07 | $0.330 | $0.02 | 10m ago |
| Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?No | buy | 7.3 | $0.670 | $4.89 | 10m ago |
| Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?Yes | sell | 0.12 | $0.330 | $0.04 | 10m ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 0.12 | $0.330 | $0.04 | 10m ago |
| Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?No | buy | 7.3 | $0.670 | $4.89 | 10m ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 0.07 | $0.330 | $0.02 | 10m ago |
| Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?Yes | sell | 0.12 | $0.330 | $0.04 | 10m ago |
| Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?Yes | sell | 0.12 | $0.330 | $0.04 | 11m ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 12.94 | $0.650 | $8.41 | 11m ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 12.94 | $0.650 | $8.41 | 11m ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | sell | 0.12 | $0.840 | $0.1 | 39m ago |
| Will Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026?No | buy | 13.71 | $0.140 | $1.92 | 40m ago |
| Will Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026?No | buy | 13.71 | $0.140 | $1.92 | 40m ago |
| Will Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026?No | buy | 13.71 | $0.140 | $1.92 | 40m ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | buy | 0.72 | $0.840 | $0.6 | 40m ago |
| Will Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026?No | buy | 204 | $0.140 | $28.56 | 40m ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 0.12 | $0.370 | $0.04 | 43m ago |
| Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?No | buy | 13.19 | $0.590 | $7.78 | 45m ago |
| Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?No | buy | 9.97 | $0.561 | $5.59 | 49m ago |
 Will Donald Trump visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 24.04 | $0.049 | $1.17 | 1h ago |
| Will Donald Trump visit Ukraine in 2026?No | buy | 24.04 | $0.930 | $22.36 | 1h ago |
| Will Trump and Putin not meet?Yes | buy | 6.14 | $0.340 | $2.09 | 4h ago |
| Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?Yes | buy | 6.14 | $0.630 | $3.87 | 4h ago |
| Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?Yes | buy | 15.35 | $0.630 | $9.67 | 4h ago |
| Will Trump and Putin not meet?Yes | buy | 15.35 | $0.340 | $5.22 | 4h ago |
| Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?Yes | buy | 5.29 | $0.630 | $3.33 | 5h ago |
| Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?Yes | buy | 23.06 | $0.620 | $14.3 | 5h ago |
| Will Trump and Putin not meet?Yes | buy | 23.06 | $0.350 | $8.07 | 5h ago |
| Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?Yes | buy | 109.84 | $0.620 | $68.1 | 5h ago |
| Will Trump and Putin not meet?Yes | buy | 109.84 | $0.350 | $38.44 | 5h ago |
| Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?Yes | buy | 5.25 | $0.616 | $3.23 | 5h ago |
| Will Trump and Putin not meet?Yes | buy | 7.3 | $0.360 | $2.63 | 5h ago |
| Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?Yes | buy | 7.3 | $0.610 | $4.45 | 5h ago |
| Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?Yes | buy | 31.64 | $0.610 | $19.3 | 5h ago |
| Will Trump and Putin not meet?Yes | buy | 31.64 | $0.360 | $11.39 | 5h ago |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 28.5 | $0.120 | $3.42 | 17h ago |
| Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 28.5 | $0.860 | $24.51 | 17h ago |
| Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by December 31?No | sell | 36.88 | $0.860 | $31.72 | 1d ago |
 Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?Yes | sell | 36.88 | $0.130 | $4.79 | 1d ago |
| Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by December 31?No | sell | 2.34 | $0.860 | $2.01 | 1d ago |
| Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?Yes | sell | 2.34 | $0.130 | $0.3 | 1d ago |
| Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by December 31?No | sell | 8.46 | $0.860 | $7.28 | 1d ago |
| Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?Yes | sell | 8.46 | $0.130 | $1.1 | 1d ago |
| Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 14.48 | $0.860 | $12.45 | 1d ago |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 14.48 | $0.140 | $2.03 | 1d ago |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 8.07 | $0.140 | $1.13 | 1d ago |