Analytics
Yes is at 13%, down 28 points from 40.5% when the market opened on 1 Jul 2026.
Across the 117 daily closes on record from 1 Jul 2026 to 30 Oct 2026 (5 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 62% on 22 Jul 2026 and the lowest 8% on 17 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 9.5%; a month before, 17%. Its largest one-day move was 26 points down, to 29.5% on 2 Aug 2026.
$210 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $5.2K since listing. The order book holds $11.04K, with a 4.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 146 trades, $432.44 bought Yes and $1.95K bought No.
The largest Yes position is High-Campaigning with 408 shares; the largest No position is hadarhaddad with 478. Ten wallets hold 88.5% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 63 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 30, 11:37 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 117 points, 1 Jul 2026 – 30 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 1 Jul 2026 | 40.5% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 13.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| hadarhaddad | No | 478.42 |
| High-Campaigning | Yes | 408.18 |
| conherence | No | 405.02 |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Miguel Díaz-Canel ceases to be the President of Cuba for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Miguel Díaz-Canel's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be the government of Cuba, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/miguel-daz-canel-out-as-president-of-cuba-by-june-30
| BeltzaCapital |
| Yes |
| 399.99 |
| Impassioned-Light | Yes | 301.99 |
| Mst-br | No | 299.97 |
| Javier777Milei | Yes | 200 |
| lukas11 | No | 170 |
| Keen Falcon FA7B | Yes | 140.22 |
| newnewuser | No | 69.49 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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