Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 2.07K | $0.753 | $1.86K | +$302.77 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 86.99 | $0.794 | $69.07 | 16m ago |
| No |
| 1.73K |
| $0.778 |
| $1.31K |
| -$41.24 |
 Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the third most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? | No | 995.34 | $0.772 | $821.16 | +$52.18 |
 Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms? | No | 703.09 | $0.959 | $677.07 | +$2.74 |
| Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? | No | 606.01 | $0.985 | $601.47 | +$4.67 |
 Will the highest score achieved by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher? | Yes | 557.7 | $0.555 | $455.08 | +$145.59 |
| Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | No | 1.73K | $0.198 | $424.33 | +$80.67 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | No | 387.67 | $0.790 | $382.82 | +$76.51 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 456.62 | $0.801 | $363.01 | -$2.89 |
 Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by December 31? | No | 352.7 | $0.708 | $312.14 | +$62.55 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | No | 270 | $0.571 | $228.15 | +$74.07 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 2.07K | $0.195 | $217.02 | -$185.43 |
 Will PAM get the third-most number of seats in the next Moroccan legislative elections? | No | 223.46 | $0.790 | $209.27 | +$32.74 |
 Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | No | 401.13 | $0.493 | $206.58 | +$8.78 |
 Will PI win the next Moroccan legislative elections? | No | 213.61 | $0.740 | $199.19 | +$41.15 |
 Will RNI get the third-most number of seats in the next Moroccan legislative elections? | No | 286.1 | $0.592 | $198.84 | +$29.33 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released between September 7 and September 13, 2026? | No | 199.39 | $0.954 | $193.61 | +$3.39 |
| Will RNI get the second-most number of seats in the next Moroccan legislative elections? | No | 286.1 | $0.598 | $187.4 | +$16.45 |
| Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? | No | 996.2 | $0.203 | $184.3 | -$17.71 |
| Will RNI win the next Moroccan legislative elections? | No | 286.12 | $0.728 | $176.39 | -$31.92 |
 Will Left Party (V) win at least 9% of all valid votes? | No | 200 | $0.860 | $171 | -$1 |
| Sweden Parliamentary Election: V Over/Under 7%? | Over | 243.87 | $0.761 | $156.08 | -$29.49 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 50% or higher? | No | 557.72 | $0.292 | $153.37 | -$9.4 |
| Will PI get the second-most number of seats in the next Moroccan legislative elections? | No | 212.89 | $0.578 | $151.26 | +$28.19 |
 Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Mecklenburg-Vorpommern? | No | 154.44 | $0.980 | $150.5 | -$0.82 |
Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?No| buy |
| 87 |
| $0.170 |
| $14.79 |
| 16m ago |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 30.02 | $0.801 | $24.05 | 16m ago |
| Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?No | buy | 29.94 | $0.170 | $5.09 | 16m ago |
 Will SPD win between 28% and 31% of all valid second votes?No | sell | 26.34 | $0.780 | $20.55 | 21m ago |
| Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: SPD Over/Under 28%?Over | sell | 26.34 | $0.658 | $17.32 | 21m ago |
| Will SPD win between 28% and 31% of all valid second votes?No | buy | 26.35 | $0.810 | $21.34 | 21m ago |
| Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: SPD Over/Under 28%?Over | buy | 26.34 | $0.840 | $22.13 | 21m ago |
| Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?No | buy | 9.94 | $0.170 | $1.69 | 1h ago |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 9.91 | $0.798 | $7.91 | 1h ago |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 11.55 | $0.791 | $9.14 | 1h ago |
| Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?No | buy | 11.55 | $0.180 | $2.08 | 1h ago |
| Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?No | buy | 5.58 | $0.190 | $1.06 | 1h ago |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 5.43 | $0.791 | $4.3 | 1h ago |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 10 | $0.781 | $7.81 | 1h ago |
| Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?No | buy | 10 | $0.190 | $1.9 | 1h ago |
 Will Eduardo Braga win the most votes in the 2026 Amazonas Senate election?No | buy | 22.02 | $0.190 | $4.18 | 3h ago |
| Will Eduardo Braga win the second-most votes in the 2026 Amazonas Senate election?No | buy | 22.03 | $0.783 | $17.25 | 3h ago |
| Will Eduardo Braga win the most votes in the 2026 Amazonas Senate election?No | buy | 22.02 | $0.190 | $4.18 | 4h ago |
| Will Eduardo Braga win the second-most votes in the 2026 Amazonas Senate election?No | buy | 22.03 | $0.779 | $17.16 | 4h ago |
| Will Eduardo Braga win the most votes in the 2026 Amazonas Senate election?No | buy | 50.04 | $0.199 | $9.96 | 5h ago |
| Will Eduardo Braga win the second-most votes in the 2026 Amazonas Senate election?No | buy | 50 | $0.763 | $38.15 | 5h ago |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 16.99 | $0.791 | $13.44 | 9h ago |
| Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?No | buy | 17 | $0.180 | $3.06 | 9h ago |
| Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?No | buy | 18 | $0.180 | $3.24 | 9h ago |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 17.99 | $0.791 | $14.23 | 9h ago |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 7 | $0.791 | $5.54 | 9h ago |
| Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?No | buy | 7 | $0.180 | $1.26 | 9h ago |
| Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?No | buy | 10.5 | $0.180 | $1.89 | 9h ago |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 10.5 | $0.791 | $8.31 | 9h ago |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 22.5 | $0.790 | $17.77 | 9h ago |
| Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?No | buy | 22.5 | $0.180 | $4.05 | 9h ago |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 28.5 | $0.792 | $22.57 | 9h ago |
| Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?No | buy | 28.5 | $0.180 | $5.13 | 9h ago |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 19.71 | $0.811 | $15.98 | 14h ago |
| Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?No | buy | 19.7 | $0.160 | $3.15 | 14h ago |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 100.15 | $0.806 | $80.7 | 14h ago |
| Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?No | buy | 100.14 | $0.160 | $16.02 | 14h ago |
 Will Republicans hold 53+ Senate seats and 208–222 House seats after the 2026 midterms?Yes | buy | 56.9 | $0.082 | $4.68 | 15h ago |
| Will Republicans hold 53+ Senate seats and 223+ House seats after the 2026 midterms?Yes | buy | 56.97 | $0.048 | $2.74 | 15h ago |
| Will Republicans hold 53+ Senate seats and ≤207 House seats after the 2026 midterms?Yes | buy | 57.03 | $0.018 | $1.01 | 15h ago |
| Will Republicans hold 50–52 Senate seats and ≤192 House seats after the 2026 midterms?Yes | buy | 56.95 | $0.022 | $1.27 | 15h ago |
| Will Republicans hold 50–52 Senate seats and 223+ House seats after the 2026 midterms?Yes | buy | 56.96 | $0.023 | $1.31 | 15h ago |
| Will Republicans hold 50–52 Senate seats and 193–207 House seats after the 2026 midterms?Yes | buy | 56.94 | $0.085 | $4.84 | 15h ago |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?No | buy | 56.87 | $0.520 | $29.57 | 15h ago |
| Will Republicans hold 50–52 Senate seats and 208–222 House seats after the 2026 midterms?Yes | buy | 56.88 | $0.142 | $8.07 | 15h ago |
| Will AfD win at least 38% of all valid second votes?No | sell | 8 | $0.670 | $5.36 | 16h ago |
| Will AfD win between 35% and 38% of all valid second votes?No | sell | 7.98 | $0.500 | $3.99 | 16h ago |
| Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: AfD Over/Under 35%?Over | buy | 12 | $0.750 | $9 | 16h ago |
| Will AfD win between 35% and 38% of all valid second votes?No | buy | 19.98 | $0.510 | $10.19 | 16h ago |