Analytics
conherence has made $3.34K on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-24 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms? | No | 5.77K | $0.980 | $5.71K | +$52.25 |
 Will oil be at least $80 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
This view does not establish the wallet’s complete trading history.
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-24 06:03 UTC
Polymarket public position response
50 open positions returned; page coverage partial
2026-10-25 20:05 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
Recent fills unavailable
2026-10-25 20:05 UTC
polymarket positions
51 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-24 06:03 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $20.66K and losing ones cost $2.72K across the latest 50 settled positions. 90% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $3.1K on “Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than…” (No); the largest loss, $1.96K on “Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?” (Yes).
It has traded 596 markets. Its open positions are worth $33.68K across 180 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| Yes |
| 7.45K |
| $0.548 |
| $4.97K |
| +$882.29 |
| Will oil be at least $85 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate? | Yes | 7.45K | $0.261 | $2.15K | +$205.11 |
 Will Andrey Gyurov win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 20%-30%? | No | 2.07K | $0.977 | $2.06K | +$35.18 |
| Will Andrey Gyurov win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by at least 30%? | No | 2.07K | $0.990 | $2.06K | +$7.93 |
| Will Andrey Gyurov win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by less than 10%? | No | 2.07K | $0.959 | $1.84K | -$146.35 |
 Will the Republican Party hold exactly 49 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | No | 1.33K | $0.890 | $1.19K | +$5.96 |
 Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | No | 1.73K | $0.656 | $1.13K | -$2.27 |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 48 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | No | 1.33K | $0.829 | $1.1K | -$5.08 |
 Will an Independent candidate win the 2026 South Dakota Senate election? | No | 919.59 | $0.926 | $885.57 | +$33.65 |
| Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | No | 1.33K | $0.579 | $805.07 | +$35.13 |
 Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 857.07 | $0.651 | $561.38 | +$3.44 |
 Will Republicans hold 47–49 Senate seats and ≤192 House seats after the 2026 midterms? | No | 575.3 | $0.877 | $530.14 | +$25.48 |
| Will Republicans hold ≤46 Senate seats and 193–207 House seats after the 2026 midterms? | No | 575.29 | $0.927 | $515.74 | -$17.57 |
| Will Republicans hold 47–49 Senate seats and 208+ House seats after the 2026 midterms? | No | 470.27 | $0.937 | $456.87 | +$16.35 |
| Will Republicans hold ≤46 Senate seats and ≤192 House seats after the 2026 midterms? | No | 575.29 | $0.785 | $414.21 | -$37.72 |
| Will Republicans hold 47–49 Senate seats and 193–207 House seats after the 2026 midterms? | No | 575.32 | $0.739 | $390.35 | -$34.83 |
 Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by December 31? | No | 405.02 | $0.729 | $372.61 | +$77.51 |
 Will Iliana Iotova win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election? | No | 2.07K | $0.056 | $360.57 | +$243.93 |
 Will SB Energy IPO by December 31, 2026? | No | 299.91 | $0.899 | $269.02 | -$0.61 |
| Will oil be below $85 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate? | Yes | 7.45K | $0.081 | $253.33 | -$353.25 |
 Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? | No | 249.78 | $0.916 | $233.67 | +$4.75 |
 Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | No | 223.63 | $0.783 | $200.15 | +$24.98 |
 Will no company have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026? | Yes | 252.3 | $0.734 | $170.3 | -$14.93 |
 Will Donald Trump visit Maine before the midterms? | No | 176.38 | $0.679 | $157.86 | +$38.03 |
Placed on fixed scales: no Radar board ranking was cached on this server when the profile was read, so no archetype is claimed. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.
