Analytics
Yes is at 46%, up 8.5 points from 37.5% when the market opened on 30 Sep 2026.
Across the 26 daily closes on record from 30 Sep 2026 to 28 Oct 2026 (3 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 63% on 14 Oct 2026 and the lowest 12% on 4 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 55%. Its largest one-day move was 32 points up, to 46% on 28 Oct 2026.
It is one of 4 markets under “Which states will Trump visit before the midterms?”.
$86.62 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $1.8K since listing. The order book holds $120.85, with a 50.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 56 trades, $135.82 bought Yes and $591.65 bought No.
The largest Yes position is xtxpleasecallme with 371 shares; the largest No position is tinman2 with 164. Ten wallets hold 89.5% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 3 Nov 2026, 7 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 28, 2:02 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 26 points, 30 Sep 2026 – 28 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 30 Sep 2026 | 37.5% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 46.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 371.22 |
| tinman2 | No | 164 |
| conherence | No | 156.39 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump visits the listed US state between market creation and November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial territory of the listed state. Whether or not Trump enters the state's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from the government of the United States of America, official information from Trump, or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g., https://twitter.com/POTUS); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/which-states-will-donald-trump-visit-before-the-midterms
| pootytherewardfarmer |
| No |
| 44.4 |
| youtube-trader | Yes | 42.99 |
| cloverpmq2 | Yes | 37.29 |
| Greedy-Schema | No | 30 |
| Quarrelsome-Branch | Yes | 27.8 |
| annont | No | 20 |
| Standard-Jackal | Yes | 20 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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