Analytics
Yes is at 70.5%, up 14 points from 56.5% when the market opened on 30 Sep 2026.
The high was 85% on 8 Oct 2026 and the low 27% on 1 Oct 2026. A week ago Yes was at 72%. Its largest one-day move was 30 points up, to 58% on 4 Oct 2026.
It is one of 9 markets under “Which states will Trump visit before the midterms?”.
$1.33K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $1.41K, with a 3.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 53 trades, $286.41 bought Yes and $238.73 bought No.
The largest Yes position is Faston with 230 shares; the largest No position is AJSV with 285.
Trading closes on 3 Nov 2026, 18 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 16, 5:17 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 18 points, 30 Sep 2026 – 16 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 30 Sep 2026 | 56.5% |
| 16 Oct 2026 | 70.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| AJSV | No | 285.14 |
| Faston | Yes | 229.84 |
| sunnynotbunny | No | 118.13 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump visits the listed US state between market creation and November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial territory of the listed state. Whether or not Trump enters the state's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from the government of the United States of America, official information from Trump, or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g., https://twitter.com/POTUS); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/which-states-will-donald-trump-visit-before-the-midterms
| Dapsy |
| Yes |
| 91.11 |
| anonymousbtcuser1000 | Yes | 41 |
| Haradwaith | Yes | 37.03 |
| oneoftheppl | Yes | 35.29 |
| Fihdrzgdd | No | 30 |
| lolzzzlol | Yes | 24 |
| gfdgfvfvssdd | Yes | 20 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
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