Analytics
Yes is at 10%, down 6.5 points from 16.5% when the market opened on 30 Sep 2026.
The high was 35.5% on 1 Oct 2026 and the low 8.5% on 4 Oct 2026. A week ago Yes was at 11.5%. Its largest one-day move was 24 points down, to 11.5% on 2 Oct 2026.
It is one of 12 markets under “Which states will Trump visit before the midterms?”.
$326.11 traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $468.32, with a 2.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask.
The largest Yes position is AJSV with 87 shares; the largest No position is Antony82 with 149.
Trading closes on 3 Nov 2026, 25 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 9, 10:52 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 11 points · 30 Sep 2026 – 9 Oct 2026 · axis zoomed to 0%–50%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 30 Sep 2026 | 16.5% |
| 9 Oct 2026 | 10.0% |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump visits the listed US state between market creation and November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial territory of the listed state. Whether or not Trump enters the state's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from the government of the United States of America, official information from Trump, or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g., https://twitter.com/POTUS); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/which-states-will-donald-trump-visit-before-the-midterms
| Standard-Jackal |
| Yes |
| 21 |
| Numitus1994 | Yes | 21 |
| GuyFromTinder | Yes | 20 |
| lolzzzlol | No | 20 |
| smarterstrat | No | 1 |
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