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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | No | 12K | $0.110 | $9.66K | +$8.34K |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 390.7 | $0.100 | $39.07 | 1d ago |
|
| Yes |
| 14K |
| $0.339 |
| $4.99K |
| +$248.74 |
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | No | 4.1K | $0.470 | $3.5K | +$1.58K |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | No | 5K | $0.490 | $2.33K | -$125 |
 Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31 | No | 2K | $0.310 | $1.69K | +$1.07K |
 Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? | No | 1.81K | $0.600 | $1.58K | +$498.08 |
 Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? | No | 2K | $0.640 | $1.39K | +$110 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | No | 2K | $0.095 | $1.33K | +$1.14K |
 Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30? | No | 1.49K | $0.600 | $1.04K | +$141.89 |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? | No | 1K | $0.720 | $905 | +$185 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31? | No | 1.9K | $0.535 | $893 | -$123 |
 Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | Yes | 11.73K | $0.086 | $880.1 | -$135.69 |
 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House | Yes | 2.28K | $0.342 | $808.51 | +$29.17 |
 Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 81.27K | $0.017 | $772.04 | -$595.53 |
 Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 4K | $0.121 | $646 | +$160 |
 Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 1K | $0.510 | $505 | -$5 |
 Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 3.45K | $0.142 | $500.83 | +$9.37 |
 Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | No | 1K | $0.510 | $495 | -$15 |
 Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 699.99 | $0.600 | $458.49 | +$38.5 |
 Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | No | 1.09K | $0.625 | $443.61 | -$236.22 |
 Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes? | No | 429.99 | $0.656 | $427.2 | +$145.15 |
 Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | Yes | 1.02K | $0.524 | $380.65 | -$150.92 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? | No | 843.89 | $0.315 | $345.99 | +$80.27 |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31? | No | 600 | $0.500 | $297 | -$3 |
 Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 800 | $0.420 | $292 | -$44 |
| buy |
| 28 |
| $0.280 |
| $7.84 |
| 4d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 28 | $0.280 | $7.84 | 4d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 28 | $0.280 | $7.84 | 4d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 306.7 | $0.276 | $84.73 | 4d ago |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 1.73K | $0.070 | $121.42 | 4d ago |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 6K | $0.070 | $420 | 4d ago |
 Will Julian Alvarez join Arsenal?Yes | sell | 751.35 | $0.175 | $131.63 | 10d ago |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseYes | buy | 500 | $0.350 | $175 | 11d ago |
| Will Julian Alvarez join Arsenal?Yes | buy | 551.35 | $0.413 | $227.57 | 12d ago |
| Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes?No | buy | 230 | $0.670 | $154.05 | 12d ago |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?No | buy | 793.98 | $0.580 | $460.43 | 12d ago |
| Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 790 | $0.150 | $118.5 | 13d ago |
| Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 2.66K | $0.140 | $372.96 | 13d ago |
 Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?No | buy | 858 | $0.150 | $128.7 | 13d ago |
| Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?No | buy | 625.86 | $0.140 | $87.62 | 13d ago |
 US x China tariff agreement by December 31?No | buy | 75 | $0.099 | $7.45 | 18d ago |
| US x China tariff agreement by December 31?No | buy | 100 | $0.100 | $10 | 18d ago |
| US x China tariff agreement by December 31?No | buy | 75 | $0.099 | $7.4 | 18d ago |
| US x China tariff agreement by December 31?No | buy | 100 | $0.100 | $10 | 18d ago |
| US x China tariff agreement by December 31?No | buy | 218.8 | $0.090 | $19.67 | 18d ago |
| US x China tariff agreement by December 31?No | buy | 62.49 | $0.084 | $5.24 | 18d ago |
| US x China tariff agreement by December 31?No | buy | 50 | $0.083 | $4.15 | 18d ago |
| US x China tariff agreement by December 31?No | buy | 20 | $0.082 | $1.64 | 18d ago |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?No | buy | 1.81K | $0.600 | $1.09K | 21d ago |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 2.83K | $0.060 | $169.56 | 21d ago |
 Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?Yes | buy | 550 | $0.180 | $99 | 21d ago |
| Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?Yes | buy | 350 | $0.220 | $77 | 27d ago |
| Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.220 | $22 | 27d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?No | buy | 1.19K | $0.510 | $608.23 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?No | buy | 19.62 | $0.500 | $9.81 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 787 | $0.090 | $70.83 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?No | buy | 175.85 | $0.500 | $87.93 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.01K | $0.100 | $101.31 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 200 | $0.090 | $18 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?No | buy | 1.33K | $0.350 | $465.43 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?No | buy | 383.29 | $0.669 | $256.42 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 600 | $0.250 | $150 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 594.7 | $0.240 | $142.73 | Aug 6, 2026 |
 Mykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by July 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 649.71 | $0.014 | $9.1 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Mykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by August 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 599.99 | $0.050 | $30 | Jul 28, 2026 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 26?Yes | buy | 499.99 | $0.680 | $339.99 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?Yes | buy | 504.77 | $0.680 | $343.24 | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Mykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 197.2 | $0.126 | $24.85 | Jul 21, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 1K | $0.109 | $109 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| Mykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 17.64 | $0.150 | $2.65 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| Mykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 230.3 | $0.187 | $43.12 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| Mykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 260.64 | $0.179 | $46.77 | Jul 21, 2026 |
 Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 27?Yes | buy | 356.62 | $0.360 | $128.38 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 24?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.520 | $10.4 | Jul 21, 2026 |