Analytics
Yes is at 3.1%, down 40 points from 43% when the market opened on 28 Aug 2026.
Across the 58 daily closes on record from 28 Aug 2026 to 29 Oct 2026 (5 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 82% on 18 Sep 2026 and the lowest 2.7% on 28 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 4%; a month before, 70%. Its largest one-day move was 52 points down, to 20.5% on 1 Oct 2026.
$65.4 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $1.81K since listing. The order book holds $10.43K, with a 2.7% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 56 trades, $117.32 bought Yes and $577.72 bought No.
The largest Yes position is xtxpleasecallme with 311 shares; the largest No position is bissy. with 322. Ten wallets hold 93.5% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Nov 2026, 4 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 29, 3:44 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 58 points, 28 Aug 2026 – 29 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 28 Aug 2026 | 43.0% |
| 29 Oct 2026 | 3.1% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| bissy. | No | 322.12 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 310.5 |
| BlondBeast | Yes | 260 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump meets with Mark Carney between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Trump and Carney are present and interact with each other in person. An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/trump-meets-with-mark-carney-byptptpt
| stardustdream |
| No |
| 160 |
| hadarhaddad | No | 147.43 |
| prodset | No | 105.05 |
| 73f44919CE0143F0e9a05F531f7C8B15c8a483a0. | Yes | 90.43 |
| flexer78 | Yes | 40 |
| LornaPredicts | No | 39.26 |
| ScottsRoad | Yes | 31.85 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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