Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027? | No | 795.85 | $0.797 | $732.18 | +$97.77 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Moscow air traffic suspended by September 15?Yes | sell | 131.75 | $0.400 | $52.73 | 4d ago |
 |
| No |
| 714.29 |
| $0.700 |
| $667.86 |
| +$167.86 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? | No | 521.38 | $0.959 | $517.99 | +$17.99 |
 Will Trump pardon Derek Chauvin before 2027? | No | 543.7 | $0.920 | $516.79 | +$16.79 |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | No | 556.49 | $0.665 | $498.06 | +$128.06 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31? | No | 531.91 | $0.940 | $497.34 | -$2.66 |
 Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027? | No | 435.24 | $0.689 | $424.36 | +$124.36 |
 Ukraine election called by December 31, 2026? | No | 350 | $0.860 | $316.75 | +$15.75 |
 Will Trump meet with Aleksandr Lukashenko in 2026? | No | 405.25 | $0.750 | $314.06 | +$10.07 |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by October 31? | No | 325.77 | $0.970 | $310.95 | -$5.05 |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in September? | No | 310.61 | $0.969 | $306.26 | +$5.26 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30? | No | 305.62 | $0.982 | $301.95 | +$1.95 |
 Will Trump meet with Nick Fuentes in 2026? | No | 318.17 | $0.943 | $301.79 | +$1.79 |
 Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? | No | 331.51 | $0.905 | $301.67 | +$1.67 |
 Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | No | 307.66 | $0.650 | $286.28 | +$86.28 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026? | No | 261.04 | $0.770 | $254.77 | +$53.77 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in September? | No | 252.65 | $0.795 | $243.43 | +$42.43 |
 Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | Yes | 303.14 | $0.746 | $237.96 | +$11.96 |
 Will Ukraine re-enter Myrnohrad by December 31? | No | 260.76 | $0.805 | $235.99 | +$25.99 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 232.05 | $0.961 | $224.97 | +$1.97 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? | No | 236.45 | $0.846 | $221.08 | +$21.08 |
 Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026? | No | 289.86 | $0.690 | $215.94 | +$15.94 |
 Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by September 30, 2026? | No | 215.86 | $0.926 | $208.09 | +$8.09 |
| Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by October 31, 2026? | No | 260.19 | $0.769 | $205.55 | +$5.55 |
 Hormuz Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30? | No | 205.38 | $0.974 | $203.02 | +$3.02 |
| buy |
| 97.49 |
| $0.815 |
| $79.42 |
| 5d ago |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September?Yes | sell | 442.85 | $0.090 | $39.82 | 5d ago |
 Will Russia target Kyiv on September 6, 2026?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.850 | $34 | 5d ago |
 Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 234.32 | $0.213 | $50 | 5d ago |
 Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,600 in September?Yes | buy | 144.93 | $0.690 | $100 | 5d ago |
 Will Russia capture Kupiansk by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 211.43 | $0.946 | $200 | 5d ago |
| Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Yes | buy | 303.14 | $0.746 | $226 | 5d ago |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | sell | 500 | $0.700 | $350 | 5d ago |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?No | sell | 308.64 | $0.989 | $305.24 | 5d ago |
| Will Russia target Kyiv on September 5, 2026?Yes | buy | 30.56 | $0.870 | $26.59 | 5d ago |
| Moscow air traffic suspended by September 15?Yes | buy | 131.76 | $0.759 | $100 | 5d ago |
| Will Russia capture Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 132.53 | $0.830 | $110 | 7d ago |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in September?No | buy | 126.44 | $0.870 | $110 | 7d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026?No | buy | 114.94 | $0.870 | $100 | 7d ago |
 Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 683.33 | $0.170 | $116.17 | 7d ago |
 Will Iran target Iraq by September 15, 2026?No | buy | 141.85 | $0.219 | $31 | 7d ago |
| Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?Yes | sell | 369.47 | $0.120 | $44.44 | 7d ago |
| Will Russia target Kyiv on September 3, 2026?Yes | buy | 60.58 | $0.842 | $51 | 7d ago |
 Will Trump praise Xi Jinping in September?No | buy | 144.28 | $0.076 | $11 | 8d ago |
 Will Trump say "Barack Hussein Obama" in September?No | buy | 110.78 | $0.099 | $11 | 8d ago |
 Will Trump not endorse a Party in the 2026 Israeli Election?Yes | buy | 73.04 | $0.685 | $50 | 8d ago |
 Will Trump speak to Andy Burnham in September?No | buy | 305.6 | $0.049 | $15 | 8d ago |
 Will Trump speak to Vladimir Putin in September?No | buy | 131.58 | $0.380 | $50 | 8d ago |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.710 | $355 | 8d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?No | sell | 301.33 | $0.999 | $301.03 | 8d ago |
| Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 260.19 | $0.769 | $200 | 8d ago |
| Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 683.33 | $0.180 | $123 | 8d ago |
| Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 164.17 | $0.820 | $134.62 | 8d ago |
 Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 138.82 | $0.789 | $109.48 | 10d ago |
| Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 135.14 | $0.740 | $100 | 10d ago |
| Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 164.18 | $0.670 | $110 | 10d ago |
 Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 116.28 | $0.860 | $100 | 11d ago |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?No | sell | 421.87 | $0.998 | $421.03 | 11d ago |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | buy | 232.05 | $0.961 | $223 | 11d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 200 | $0.600 | $120 | 11d ago |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by August 31?No | sell | 315.78 | $0.999 | $315.46 | 11d ago |
 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseYes | buy | 442.86 | $0.350 | $155 | 11d ago |
 Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by September 30?No | buy | 216.98 | $0.922 | $200 | 11d ago |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in September?Yes | buy | 312.5 | $0.480 | $150 | 11d ago |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?No | buy | 305.62 | $0.982 | $300 | 11d ago |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by October 31?No | buy | 325.77 | $0.970 | $316 | 11d ago |
| Ukraine election called by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 350 | $0.860 | $301 | 13d ago |
| Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 215.86 | $0.927 | $200 | 13d ago |
| Will Trump pardon Diddy before 2027?No | buy | 209.42 | $0.955 | $200 | 13d ago |
| Will Trump pardon Derek Chauvin before 2027?No | buy | 543.7 | $0.920 | $500 | 13d ago |
| Will Trump meet with Nick Fuentes in 2026?No | buy | 318.17 | $0.943 | $300 | 13d ago |
 Will Trump meet with Delcy Rodríguez by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 132.53 | $0.830 | $110 | 13d ago |
| Will Trump meet with Aleksandr Lukashenko in 2026?No | buy | 405.25 | $0.750 | $304 | 13d ago |
| Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?No | buy | 289.86 | $0.690 | $200 | 13d ago |