Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Insurrection Act invoked by December 31? | No | 3.51K | $0.704 | $2.98K | +$511.19 |
 Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Bill Clinton be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?No | sell | 356.88 | $0.950 | $339.04 | Apr 1, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 708.86 |
| $0.877 |
| $696.46 |
| +$74.96 |
 Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time? | Yes | 762.01 | $0.270 | $358.15 | +$152.11 |
 Will Josh Shapiro announce a Presidential run before 2027? | No | 374.47 | $0.872 | $353.87 | +$27.39 |
| Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 4K | $0.050 | $256 | +$56 |
 Will Hyperliquid reach $90 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 299.99 | $0.430 | $243.29 | +$114.3 |
 Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? | No | 300 | $0.610 | $202.5 | +$19.5 |
 Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027? | No | 218.98 | $0.790 | $191.61 | +$18.61 |
| Will Hyperliquid dip to $40 by December 31, 2026? | No | 200 | $0.620 | $179 | +$55 |
 Will J.D. Vance announce a presidential run before 2027? | No | 172.81 | $0.869 | $171.95 | +$21.69 |
 Will OpenAI acquire Pinterest in 2026? | Yes | 330 | $0.160 | $7.1 | -$45.71 |
 Will Sung-Jae Im win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Yes | 698.28 | $0.500 | $0.35 | -$348.79 |
| sell |
| 361.88 |
| $0.016 |
| $5.79 |
| Mar 25, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 3.32K | $0.340 | $1.13K | Mar 25, 2026 |
 Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on March 31?No | buy | 615.56 | $0.309 | $189.91 | Mar 24, 2026 |
| Insurrection Act invoked by December 31?No | buy | 1.83K | $0.672 | $1.23K | Mar 24, 2026 |
| Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on March 31?No | buy | 484.83 | $0.357 | $172.85 | Mar 24, 2026 |
 US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes | sell | 3K | $0.340 | $1.02K | Mar 13, 2026 |
| Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on March 31?No | buy | 2.5K | $0.429 | $1.07K | Mar 12, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 3K | $0.270 | $809.7 | Mar 12, 2026 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?No | sell | 575.45 | $0.522 | $300.23 | Mar 3, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?No | buy | 671.23 | $0.710 | $476.57 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| Will J.D. Vance announce a presidential run before 2027?No | sell | 535 | $0.891 | $476.57 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?No | buy | 1.82K | $0.924 | $1.68K | Feb 27, 2026 |
 Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Masters tournament?No | buy | 698.28 | $0.800 | $558.62 | Feb 26, 2026 |
 U.S. strike on Somalia by February 28?No | buy | 306.06 | $0.187 | $57.13 | Feb 26, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?No | buy | 1.91K | $0.976 | $1.86K | Feb 24, 2026 |
 Will Pump.fun be accused of insider trading?Yes | buy | 161 | $0.050 | $8.05 | Feb 24, 2026 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in February?No | sell | 500 | $0.984 | $491.97 | Feb 20, 2026 |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time?Yes | buy | 54.02 | $0.260 | $14.05 | Feb 16, 2026 |
| Insurrection Act invoked by December 31?No | buy | 1.68K | $0.739 | $1.24K | Feb 16, 2026 |
 US x Iran meeting by February 28, 2026?Yes | sell | 732.27 | $0.955 | $699.43 | Feb 15, 2026 |
 Will Apple announce the iPhone 17e by February 28?Yes | buy | 1.03K | $0.760 | $781.99 | Feb 13, 2026 |
 Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.026 | $5.2 | Feb 13, 2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?No | sell | 114.08 | $0.578 | $65.92 | Feb 13, 2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?No | sell | 305.43 | $0.569 | $173.89 | Feb 13, 2026 |
| US x Iran meeting by February 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 732.27 | $0.754 | $552.22 | Feb 13, 2026 |
| Will Bill Clinton be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?No | buy | 257.9 | $0.610 | $157.32 | Feb 13, 2026 |
 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31?Yes | buy | 2.05K | $0.110 | $225.17 | Feb 11, 2026 |
 Iran strike on US military by February 28?No | buy | 459.99 | $0.840 | $386.39 | Feb 11, 2026 |
| U.S. strike on Somalia by February 14?Yes | sell | 386.27 | $0.660 | $254.94 | Feb 11, 2026 |
| U.S. strike on Somalia by February 14?Yes | buy | 286.27 | $0.789 | $225.73 | Feb 11, 2026 |
 Nancy Guthrie kidnapper arrested by February 28?No | buy | 10 | $0.430 | $4.3 | Feb 11, 2026 |
| Nancy Guthrie kidnapper arrested by February 28?No | buy | 10.35 | $0.420 | $4.35 | Feb 11, 2026 |
| Nancy Guthrie kidnapper arrested by February 28?No | buy | 54.54 | $0.430 | $23.45 | Feb 11, 2026 |
| Nancy Guthrie kidnapper arrested by February 28?No | buy | 151.78 | $0.430 | $65.27 | Feb 11, 2026 |
| Nancy Guthrie kidnapper arrested by February 28?No | buy | 1.1K | $0.430 | $475.19 | Feb 11, 2026 |
| Nancy Guthrie kidnapper arrested by February 28?Yes | sell | 1.48K | $0.566 | $837.03 | Feb 11, 2026 |
| Will Apple announce the iPhone 17e by February 28?Yes | buy | 324.38 | $0.626 | $203.17 | Feb 11, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31?Yes | buy | 113 | $0.120 | $13.56 | Feb 11, 2026 |
| Nancy Guthrie kidnapper arrested by February 28?Yes | buy | 1.45K | $0.839 | $1.22K | Feb 11, 2026 |
| Nancy Guthrie kidnapper arrested by February 28?No | buy | 30 | $0.140 | $4.2 | Feb 11, 2026 |
| Nancy Guthrie kidnapper arrested by February 28?No | buy | 160 | $0.150 | $24 | Feb 11, 2026 |
| Nancy Guthrie kidnapper arrested by February 28?No | buy | 373.16 | $0.294 | $109.88 | Feb 11, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31?Yes | buy | 8.93K | $0.136 | $1.22K | Feb 10, 2026 |
 Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30?No | buy | 175.26 | $0.840 | $147.22 | Feb 9, 2026 |
| Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027?No | buy | 218.98 | $0.790 | $172.99 | Feb 6, 2026 |
| Will J.D. Vance announce a presidential run before 2027?No | buy | 707.81 | $0.869 | $615.43 | Feb 6, 2026 |
| Will Josh Shapiro announce a Presidential run before 2027?No | buy | 304.8 | $0.870 | $265.18 | Feb 6, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 271.18 | $0.110 | $29.83 | Feb 6, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 909.57 | $0.110 | $100.05 | Feb 6, 2026 |