Analytics
Yes is at 10.7%, down 37 points from 48% when the market opened on 3 Mar 2026.
The high was 61.5% on 29 Mar 2026 and the low 3.7% on 3 Sep 2026. A week ago Yes was at 10.8%; a month ago, 4%. Its largest one-day move was 22 points down, to 28.5% on 13 May 2026.
$7.83K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $16.75K, with a 0.1% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 73 trades, $59.72 bought Yes and $1.68K bought No; the largest was a $1K sell of Yes at 50.0¢.
The largest Yes position is kittycat67 with 342 shares; the largest No position is trkbk2 with 493. Ten wallets hold 92% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 4 Nov 2026, 23 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 12, 12:31 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 200 points · 3 Mar 2026 – 12 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 3 Mar 2026 | 48.0% |
| 12 Oct 2026 | 10.7% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| trkbk2 | No | 492.69 |
| kittycat67 | Yes | 342 |
| PCMTest | No | 118 |
Michigan voters are scheduled to vote in the November 3, 2026 midterm elections on a measure which, if passed, would call a state constitutional convention to rewrite the state constitution. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Michigan Constitutional Convention Question passes according to Michigan electoral procedure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the Michigan Constitutional Convention Question is removed from the 2026 midterm election ballot in Michigan, this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If, for any reason, the results of this vote are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." This market will resolve based on the results of the vote according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results reported by the state of Michigan, specifically the Michigan Secretary of State (https://www.michigan.gov/sos).
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-michigan-vote-to-rewrite-the-state-constitution
| macrosteaks |
| Yes |
| 114 |
| AJSV | Yes | 65.76 |
| Imaginative-Shoes | Yes | 35.9 |
| Dr.PNL | Yes | 30.18 |
| bonalddrunk | No | 27.84 |
| b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD. | Yes | 26.16 |
| Defenseless-Eyebrow | Yes | 26.1 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
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