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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will El Salvador hold $1b+ of BTC by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 40.67 | $0.728 | $16.27 | -$13.35 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Labour Party win 40-44 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.240 | $1.2 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Yes |
| 94.74 |
| $0.246 |
| $16.11 |
| -$7.23 |
 Will Bryan Johnson propose to his co-founder before 2027? | Yes | 77.5 | $0.111 | $10.89 | +$2.27 |
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%? | Yes | 65 | $0.049 | $9.91 | +$6.7 |
 MagicBlock FDV above $100M one day after launch? | Yes | 60 | $0.200 | $9.6 | -$2.4 |
 Will the Republican Party win the MT-01 House seat? | Yes | 15 | $0.570 | $9.38 | +$0.83 |
 Will Ethereal launch a token by June 30, 2027? | No | 15 | $0.557 | $9.08 | +$0.73 |
 Christine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026? | Yes | 25 | $0.396 | $8.75 | -$1.15 |
| Will the Republican Party win the MI-10 House seat? | Yes | 22.08 | $0.304 | $8.28 | +$1.56 |
 Canada's population Up or Down this year? | Up | 60.02 | $0.283 | $7.5 | -$9.5 |
 Reya FDV above $70M one day after launch? | No | 10 | $0.470 | $6.4 | +$1.7 |
 Mike Locksley out as Maryland HC in 2026? | Yes | 13.55 | $0.145 | $6.3 | +$4.34 |
 Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026? | No | 40 | $0.091 | $5.94 | +$2.28 |
 Japan recession in 2026? | Yes | 91.07 | $0.323 | $5.92 | -$23.5 |
 Will USD/JPY hit 165 (High) in 2026? | Yes | 25 | $0.428 | $5.88 | -$4.83 |
 Will Hotstuff launch a token by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 15 | $0.223 | $5.78 | +$2.43 |
 Opensea FDV above $300M one day after launch? | Yes | 25 | $0.212 | $5.63 | +$0.33 |
 Will voter turnout be between 53% and 56% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election? | Yes | 20 | $0.247 | $5.58 | +$0.64 |
 Will Papertrade launch a token by December 31, 2026? | No | 20 | $0.190 | $5.5 | +$1.7 |
 Will Russia capture Kindrativka by September 30? | Yes | 40 | $0.355 | $5.4 | -$8.8 |
 Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026? | No | 10 | $0.705 | $5.25 | -$1.8 |
 Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | No | 30 | $0.265 | $5.06 | -$2.88 |
 Will Donald Trump visit South Korea in 2026? | Yes | 20.83 | $0.146 | $4.9 | +$1.85 |
 Will Canada’s 2026 inflation be between 1.5% and 1.9%? | No | 5 | $0.989 | $4.87 | -$0.08 |
| Will the Republican Party win the TX-35 House seat? | No | 8.62 | $0.535 | $4.74 | +$0.13 |
Will Donald Trump visit Ireland in 2026?Yes| buy |
| 5 |
| $0.720 |
| $3.6 |
| Aug 6, 2026 |
 Will 0 people leave the Trump Cabinet by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.220 | $1.1 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Will Canada’s 2026 inflation be between 2.5% and 2.9%?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.344 | $1.72 | Aug 4, 2026 |
 Will Latvija Pirmajā Vietā (LPV) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.300 | $1.5 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Mike Locksley out as Maryland HC in 2026?Yes | buy | 3.55 | $0.145 | $0.51 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Mike Locksley out as Maryland HC in 2026?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.145 | $0.73 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Mike Locksley out as Maryland HC in 2026?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.145 | $0.73 | Jul 31, 2026 |
 Will Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 4.00% and 4.49%?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.270 | $1.35 | Jul 31, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump visit Japan in 2026?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.210 | $1.05 | Jul 25, 2026 |
 Will Ostium launch a token by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.210 | $1.05 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| Will Ostium launch a token by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.210 | $1.05 | Jul 21, 2026 |
 Will Trump meet with Aleksandr Lukashenko in 2026?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.280 | $1.4 | Jul 16, 2026 |
 Will Karoline Leavitt leave the Trump administration before 2027?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.260 | $1.3 | Jul 14, 2026 |
 U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.130 | $2.6 | Jun 22, 2026 |
 Rocket Lab’s Neutron Rocket Launch by December 31?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.310 | $1.55 | Jun 22, 2026 |
 Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?No | sell | 50 | $0.500 | $25 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 Will Predict.fun launch a token by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 4.45 | $0.300 | $1.34 | Jun 11, 2026 |
 Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Yes | sell | 4.99 | $0.230 | $1.15 | Jun 11, 2026 |
 Serbian Parliamentary Election called before 2027?No | buy | 5 | $0.630 | $3.15 | May 30, 2026 |
| Serbian Parliamentary Election called before 2027?No | buy | 5 | $0.630 | $3.15 | May 30, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.950 | $4.75 | May 30, 2026 |