Analytics
Yes is at 81%, up 31 points from 50% when the market opened on 26 Aug 2026.
Across the 59 daily closes on record from 26 Aug 2026 to 27 Oct 2026 (4 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 87% on 28 Aug 2026 and the lowest 45% on 26 Sep 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 69%; a month before, 50%. Its largest one-day move was 36 points up, to 85.5% on 27 Aug 2026.
$273.72 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $1.77K since listing. The order book holds $10.32K, with a 4.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask.
The largest Yes position is DuneMentat with 318 shares; the largest No position is xtxpleasecallme with 408. Ten wallets hold 97.1% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 4 Nov 2026, 8 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 27, 8:21 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 59 points, 26 Aug 2026 – 27 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 26 Aug 2026 | 50.0% |
| 27 Oct 2026 | 75.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| xtxpleasecallme | No | 407.56 |
| DuneMentat | Yes | 318.46 |
| maritime6307 | Yes | 79 |
Arizona Proposition 317 is a legislatively referred measure that is scheduled to appear as a ballot measure in Arizona in the statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, which would declare drug cartels to be terrorist organizations, among other items. This market will resolve to “Yes” if this ballot measure is approved as a result of the Arizona statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”. Subsequent litigation or any failure to implement the measure will have no impact on the resolution of this market. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of Arizona, including the Arizona Secretary of State (https://azsos.gov/).
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/arizona-passes-drug-cartel-ballot-measure
| cosmicsteaks |
| Yes |
| 39 |
| aliiz | Yes | 21 |
| Blushing-Zipper | No | 20 |
| 1x6891589732cf8beaaf424b117d5c5c20919f6bb9 | No | 20 |
| Dr.PNL | Yes | 15.08 |
| grove223 | No | 13.87 |
| Prickly-Eyrie | Yes | 11.69 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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