Analytics
Yes is at 10%, down 40 points from 50% when the market opened on 2 Jul 2026.
Across the 113 daily closes on record from 2 Jul 2026 to 27 Oct 2026 (5 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 50% on 2 Jul 2026 and the lowest 8.5% on 23 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 25.5%; a month before, 34%. Its largest one-day move was 13 points up, to 21.5% on 24 Oct 2026.
$90 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $2.82K since listing. The order book holds $16.75K, with a 2.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 61 trades, $329.14 bought Yes and $365.11 bought No.
The largest Yes position is xtxpleasecallme with 151 shares; the largest No position is 0x49F206 with 104. Ten wallets hold 81.8% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 4 Nov 2026, 8 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 27, 8:11 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 113 points, 2 Jul 2026 – 27 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 2 Jul 2026 | 50.0% |
| 27 Oct 2026 | 23.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 151.48 |
| 0x49F206 | No | 104.15 |
| DuneMentat | Yes | 98 |
Proposition 44 is a California ballot measure currently scheduled for voting on November 3, 2026. It would require federally qualified health centers to spend 90% of revenue on direct patient care and services that aid in providing care to low-income and underserved people. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the specified ballot measure is approved by a majority of voters at the California statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of California, including the California Secretary of State (https://www.sos.ca.gov/).
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/california-clinic-funding-proposition
| pootytherewardfarmer |
| No |
| 82 |
| Nutty-User-Subcontractor | No | 63 |
| b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD. | Yes | 60 |
| johnashbough | No | 60 |
| Winged-Holder | No | 40 |
| PPMT | Yes | 30 |
| FredericM2 | Yes | 30 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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