Analytics
Yes is at 26.5%, down 24 points from 50% when the market opened on 2 Jul 2026.
The high was 50% on 2 Jul 2026 and the low 25% on 18 Sep 2026. A week ago Yes was at 45%; a month ago, 25.5%. Its largest one-day move was 10 points up, to 44.5% on 28 Sep 2026.
$2.44K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $1.18K, with a 31.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 36 trades, $305.16 bought Yes and $188.65 bought No.
The largest Yes position is DuneMentat with 141 shares; the largest No position is 0x49F206 with 104.
Trading closes on 4 Nov 2026, 16 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 19, 4:31 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 109 points, 2 Jul 2026 – 19 Oct 2026, chart shows 20%–60%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 2 Jul 2026 | 50.0% |
| 19 Oct 2026 | 26.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| DuneMentat | Yes | 141 |
| 0x49F206 | No | 104.15 |
| pootytherewardfarmer | No | 82 |
Proposition 44 is a California ballot measure currently scheduled for voting on November 3, 2026. It would require federally qualified health centers to spend 90% of revenue on direct patient care and services that aid in providing care to low-income and underserved people. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the specified ballot measure is approved by a majority of voters at the California statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of California, including the California Secretary of State (https://www.sos.ca.gov/).
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/california-clinic-funding-proposition
| b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD. |
| Yes |
| 60 |
| AJSV | Yes | 44.86 |
| FredericM2 | Yes | 30 |
| lizzyb | No | 25.72 |
| pppnn | No | 24.28 |
| Slackjaw | Yes | 20 |
| cve2 | Yes | 20 |
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