Analytics
The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
A complete provider position result is unavailable. Missing positions and amounts are not shown as zero holdings.
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 OpenAI IPO before 2027? | No | 400 | $0.910 | $362 | -$2 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Tsao Erh-chang win the next Lienchiang County Magistrate election?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.020 | $0.4 | 26d ago |
|
| Yes |
| 400 |
| $0.890 |
| $354 |
| -$2 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | No | 400 | $0.735 | $278 | -$16.19 |
 US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by September 30? | No | 198.18 | $0.840 | $163.5 | -$2.97 |
 Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting? | No | 400.01 | $0.350 | $138 | -$2 |
 Will Grüne win between 17% and 20% of all valid second votes? | No | 200 | $0.730 | $137 | -$9 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | 200 | $0.710 | $135 | -$7 |
 Meta's Watermelon released by September 30, 2026? | No | 100 | $0.950 | $95.5 | +$0.5 |
 Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31? | No | 100 | $0.920 | $91.5 | -$0.5 |
 Will Masoud Pezeshkian attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | No | 100 | $0.910 | $90.5 | -$0.5 |
 Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? | No | 200 | $0.490 | $90 | -$8 |
 Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 100 | $0.910 | $89.5 | -$1.5 |
 Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $15B by December 31? | No | 100 | $0.890 | $88.5 | -$0.5 |
 OpenAI vs Meta — higher valuation on December 31? | Meta | 100 | $0.840 | $82.5 | -$1.5 |
 Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? | No | 100 | $0.830 | $82.5 | -$0.5 |
 Will Majid Takht-Ravanchi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | No | 100 | $0.900 | $82.5 | -$7.5 |
 Will Abbas Araghchi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | No | 100 | $0.840 | $80 | -$4 |
 Will AfD win the second-most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | No | 100 | $0.796 | $79.05 | -$0.55 |
| Will AfD win between 32% and 35% of all valid second votes? | No | 100 | $0.800 | $78 | -$2 |
 US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026? | No | 94.95 | $0.800 | $75.49 | -$0.47 |
 Will there be exactly 3 North Korea tests in September 2026? | No | 84 | $0.868 | $75.18 | +$2.27 |
 Will you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love (Olivia Rodrigo) win Album of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards? | No | 100 | $0.740 | $74.5 | +$0.5 |
 Will Elon Musk post 800-839 tweets in October 2026? | No | 82.15 | $0.890 | $73.52 | +$0.41 |
 Will Nick Stewart attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | No | 89.08 | $0.810 | $73.49 | +$1.34 |
 Will ByteDance's valuation hit (HIGH) $900B by December 31? | No | 80.83 | $0.880 | $72.34 | +$1.19 |
| buy |
| 17.13 |
| $0.059 |
| $1.01 |
| 26d ago |
 Will Chang San-cheng win the next Taoyuan Mayor election?Yes | buy | 35 | $0.910 | $31.85 | 26d ago |
| Will Tsao Erh-chang win the next Lienchiang County Magistrate election?No | buy | 37.13 | $0.970 | $36.02 | 26d ago |
 Will Lin Kuo-chang win the next Yilan County Magistrate election?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.550 | $22 | 26d ago |
 Will OpenAI’s valuation be between $800B and $900B at the end of August 2026?Yes | buy | 3.33 | $0.570 | $1.9 | 27d ago |
 Will the Democratic Party win the TX-35 House seat?Yes | buy | 8.48 | $0.530 | $4.49 | 27d ago |
 Will the Ornn RTX 5090 Index be between $0.45 and $0.50 on October 31, 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.660 | $6.6 | 27d ago |
 Will Pablo Picasso be #1 in global fine art auction turnover for 2026?Yes | buy | 4 | $0.440 | $1.76 | 27d ago |
| Will AfD win 29-31 seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?No | buy | 2.92 | $0.900 | $2.63 | 27d ago |
 Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $180B by August 31?No | buy | 5 | $0.330 | $1.65 | 27d ago |
 Will Russia enter Ternuvate again by August 31?No | buy | 15.64 | $0.900 | $14.08 | 27d ago |
 Will Ceddanne Rafaela win the 2026 AL Platinum Glove award?No | buy | 2.5 | $0.920 | $2.3 | 27d ago |
 Will OpenAI have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of August 2026?Yes | buy | 12.2 | $0.930 | $11.35 | 27d ago |
 Will "Boston - Stella Lefty" be the Billboard Hot 100 #2 song for the week of August 22?Yes | buy | 3.91 | $0.540 | $2.11 | 27d ago |
 Will Minnesota Wild be the 2027 NHL Western Conference Champion?No | buy | 9.8 | $0.900 | $8.82 | 27d ago |
 Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from August 11 to August 18, 2026?No | buy | 11 | $0.710 | $7.81 | 27d ago |
 Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from August 11 to August 18, 2026?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.220 | $8.8 | 27d ago |
 Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 25°C on August 14?Yes | buy | 7.15 | $0.480 | $3.43 | 27d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on August 14?Yes | buy | 6.56 | $0.360 | $2.36 | 27d ago |
 Will the lowest temperature in London be 21°C on August 14?No | buy | 7.49 | $0.630 | $4.72 | 27d ago |
 Will there be between 0 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on August 31?Yes | buy | 2.88 | $0.890 | $2.56 | 27d ago |
 Will fewer than 180 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between August 10-August 16?No | buy | 9.84 | $0.510 | $5.02 | 27d ago |
 Will Eduardo Camavinga join Manchester United?No | buy | 6.32 | $0.988 | $6.24 | 27d ago |
 Will White House post 180-199 posts from August 7 to August 14, 2026?No | buy | 15 | $0.670 | $10.05 | 27d ago |
| Will the lowest temperature in London be 22°C on August 14?Yes | buy | 13.73 | $0.520 | $7.14 | 27d ago |
 Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 6.14 | $0.560 | $3.44 | 27d ago |
 Will Hilaria Domínguez Arvizu win the 2027 Nayarit Governor Election?No | buy | 7.1 | $0.990 | $7.03 | 27d ago |
 Will Salvador Farías González win the 2027 Campeche Governor Election?No | buy | 10.2 | $0.997 | $10.17 | 27d ago |
 Will “Last Week Tonight With John Oliver” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety series?Yes | buy | 45.78 | $0.090 | $4.11 | 27d ago |
 Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 21°C on August 14?Yes | buy | 5.22 | $0.320 | $1.67 | 27d ago |
 Will Core PCE YoY be 3.2% in July?No | buy | 3.19 | $0.640 | $2.04 | 27d ago |
 Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 8.16 | $0.414 | $3.38 | 27d ago |
 Will HotSchedules be #2 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on August 14?Yes | buy | 1.22 | $0.860 | $1.05 | 27d ago |
 Will Marcus Rashford stay at Manchester United?Yes | buy | 7.58 | $0.868 | $6.58 | 27d ago |
| Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $6.00 and $6.50 on October 31, 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.860 | $4.3 | 27d ago |
 Will the number of Democratic House members who retire in 2026 be between 20 and 23 inclusive?Yes | buy | 2.33 | $0.455 | $1.06 | 27d ago |
 Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on August 14?Yes | buy | 2.79 | $0.560 | $1.56 | 27d ago |
| Will Dandelion (Ella Langley) win Album of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?No | buy | 1.43 | $0.978 | $1.4 | 27d ago |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.123 | $0.62 | 27d ago |
 Will Christian Castro Bello win the 2027 Campeche Governor Election?No | buy | 10 | $0.990 | $9.9 | 27d ago |
 Will Khamenei post 5-9 posts from August 7 to August 14, 2026?No | buy | 24 | $0.970 | $23.28 | 27d ago |
| Will the Ornn RTX 5090 Index be between $0.45 and $0.50 on September 30, 2026?No | buy | 3 | $0.560 | $1.68 | 27d ago |
 Will AfD win 46-49 seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?No | buy | 10 | $0.930 | $9.3 | 27d ago |
 Will Manuel Garrido Patrón win the 2027 Querétaro Governor Election?No | buy | 10.2 | $0.980 | $10 | 27d ago |
 Will Luis Bernardo Nava Guerrero win the 2027 Querétaro Governor Election?No | buy | 15.49 | $0.930 | $14.41 | 27d ago |
| Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from August 7 to August 14, 2026?Yes | buy | 21.27 | $0.790 | $16.8 | 27d ago |
 Will Emilie Orring be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Uppsala?No | buy | 5.01 | $0.989 | $4.95 | 27d ago |
 Will NYC Mayor post 40-59 posts from August 14 to August 21, 2026?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.290 | $14.5 | 27d ago |
 Will the number of Republican House members who retire in 2026 be between 36 and 39 inclusive?Yes | buy | 18 | $0.797 | $14.35 | 27d ago |