Analytics
Yes is at 98.6%, up 49 points from 49.5% when the market opened on 27 Mar 2026.
Across the 199 daily closes on record from 27 Mar 2026 to 6 Nov 2026 (26 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 98.6% on 6 Nov 2026 and the lowest 1.8% on 9 Jul 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 92.5%; a month before, 70%. Its largest one-day move was 36 points down, to 8% on 29 Apr 2026.
Pat Murphy is the favourite of the 17 outcomes in “MLB: NL Manager of the Year”, ahead of Walt Weiss at 0.8%.
$36.73K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $1.78K, with a 0.8% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 500 trades, $9.25K bought Yes and $2.34K bought No.
The largest Yes position is Prickly-Eyrie with 3.2K shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 4K. Ten wallets hold 89.2% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 19 Dec 2026, 43 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Nov 6, 10:17 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 199 points, 27 Mar 2026 – 6 Nov 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 27 Mar 2026 | 49.5% |
| 6 Nov 2026 | 98.6% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 3.98K |
| Prickly-Eyrie | Yes | 3.18K |
| Nicksypoo | No | 1.88K |
This market will resolve to the manager who wins the 2026 National League Manager of the Year award for the 2026 MLB Season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the manager whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/mlb-nl-manager-of-the-year
5 more outcomes, none above 0.1%.
| esportscabal |
| Yes |
| 900 |
| bananabreakfast | Yes | 548.85 |
| JSG3 | Yes | 476.77 |
| JoGold | Yes | 421.99 |
| Gaditima | Yes | 331.65 |
| andy29 | Yes | 305 |
| bmoan | No | 249.4 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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