Analytics
Yes is at 0.1%, down 49 points from 49.5% when the market opened on 27 Mar 2026.
Across the 188 daily closes on record from 27 Mar 2026 to 30 Oct 2026 (31 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 49.5% on 27 Mar 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 10 Jul 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 0.1%; a month before, 0.1%. Its largest one-day move was 21 points up, to 26.5% on 23 Apr 2026.
Carlos Mendoza ranks fourth of the 17 outcomes in “MLB: NL Manager of the Year”. Pat Murphy leads at 92%; Walt Weiss is at 6.5%.
$211.5 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $24.6K since listing. The order book holds $7.67K, with a 0.1% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 130 trades, $28.18 bought Yes and $12.26K bought No; the largest was a $4.89K buy of No at 99.8¢.
The largest Yes position is Huye168 with 972 shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 4K. Ten wallets hold 88.8% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 19 Dec 2026, 50 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 30, 12:37 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 188 points, 27 Mar 2026 – 30 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 27 Mar 2026 | 49.5% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 0.1% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 3.96K |
| Huye168 | Yes | 972.23 |
| 52adsa | Yes | 590.67 |
This market will resolve to the manager who wins the 2026 National League Manager of the Year award for the 2026 MLB Season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the manager whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/mlb-nl-manager-of-the-year
5 more outcomes, none above 0.1%.
| Cobalt Orbit 309E |
| Yes |
| 566.99 |
| Disastrous-Progression | Yes | 500 |
| Prickly-Eyrie | No | 367.68 |
| 2kparabellum | Yes | 300 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 223.07 |
| LornaPredicts | Yes | 160.63 |
| 613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44. | Yes | 150 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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