Analytics
Yes is at 98.6%, up 90 points from 8.5% when the market opened on 20 Feb 2026.
Across the 243 daily closes on record from 20 Feb 2026 to 6 Nov 2026 (17 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 98.6% on 6 Nov 2026 and the lowest 3% on 12 Mar 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 96%; a month before, 95.3%. Its largest one-day move was 13 points up, to 40.4% on 24 Apr 2026.
Yordan Alvarez is the favourite of the 20 outcomes in “MLB: 2026 AL MVP”, ahead of Junior Caminero at 1.6%.
$58.31K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $1.18K, with a 0.9% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 500 trades, $6.53K bought Yes and $790.01 bought No; the largest was a $2.6K buy of Yes at 97.0¢.
The largest Yes position is End123 with 4K shares; the largest No position is BlueBase-568 with 2.6K. Ten wallets hold 82.7% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 13 Nov 2026, 7 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Nov 6, 10:03 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 243 points, 20 Feb 2026 – 6 Nov 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 20 Feb 2026 | 8.5% |
| 6 Nov 2026 | 98.6% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| End123 | Yes | 4.01K |
| Chonchitoooo | Yes | 2.86K |
| BlueBase-568 | No | 2.62K |
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 American League Most Valuable Player Award. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/pro-baseball-2026-al-mvp
8 more outcomes, none above 0.1%.
| cowcat |
| No |
| 2.4K |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 2.22K |
| tylerpredict | No | 751.13 |
| Violet Maven 063C | Yes | 468.34 |
| Bettor4747 | Yes | 379.14 |
| oneoftheppl | Yes | 252.26 |
| andy29 | Yes | 250.33 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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