Analytics
thebug44 has made $184.12K on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-22 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2027 NBA Finals? | Yes | 264.27K | $0.033 | $21.8K | +$12.97K |
 |
| Category | Realized PnL | Volume | Trades | Markets | Win rate | Position value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| uncategorized | +$22.6K | $37.66K | 1,532 | 12 | 41.7% | $0 |
This view does not establish the wallet’s complete trading history.
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-22 15:34 UTC
Polymarket public position response
24 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-27 15:43 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
Recent fills unavailable
2026-10-27 15:43 UTC
polymarket positions
51 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-22 15:34 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $446.59K and losing ones cost $79.04K across the latest 50 settled positions. 60% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $282.75K on “Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?” (Yes); the largest loss, $20.11K on “Will Carlos Alcaraz win Wimbledon 2025?” (Yes).
It has traded 186 markets. Most of the volume is in uncategorized ($37.66K). Its open positions are worth $96.87K across 24 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| Yes |
| 145.5K |
| $0.062 |
| $18.99K |
| +$9.93K |
 Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 65.21K | $0.147 | $9.55K | -$40.71 |
 Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 91.82K | $0.105 | $8.59K | -$1.05K |
| Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals? | Yes | 34.88K | $0.178 | $7.5K | +$1.29K |
 Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 10.7K | $0.691 | $7.44K | +$46.54 |
| Will New York Knicks win the 2027 NBA Finals? | Yes | 109.97K | $0.071 | $6.05K | -$1.81K |
 Will Inter Miami CF win the 2026 MLS Cup? | Yes | 21.07K | $0.151 | $3.48K | +$300.11 |
 Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 7K | $0.450 | $2.91K | -$245 |
 Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 4K | $0.670 | $2.7K | +$20 |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 9.78K | $0.168 | $1.57K | -$69.91 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 11.16K | $0.085 | $1.32K | +$378.94 |
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | Yes | 28.27K | $0.162 | $1.14K | -$3.43K |
 Will the New England Patriots win the 2027 NFL league championship? | Yes | 26.55K | $0.036 | $915.84 | -$30.22 |
 Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 2.91K | $0.070 | $684.73 | +$480.77 |
| Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win the 2027 NFL league championship? | Yes | 50.31K | $0.011 | $553.36 | +$19.18 |
| Will Portland Trail Blazers win the 2027 NBA Finals? | Yes | 34.12K | $0.008 | $528.84 | +$243.61 |
 Will Darryn Peterson win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year? | Yes | 4.44K | $0.146 | $421.79 | -$228.14 |
 Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2027? | No | 403.87 | $0.220 | $232.23 | +$143.37 |
 Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 24.89K | $0.011 | $223.99 | -$45.25 |
 Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 30.45K | $0.005 | $213.17 | +$45.56 |
| Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals? | Yes | 325.39 | $0.188 | $50.44 | -$10.6 |
| Will the Cleveland Browns win the 2027 NFL league championship? | Yes | 2.89K | $0.006 | $15.9 | -$1.44 |
 Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 0.4 | $0.310 | $0.12 | -$0 |
Placed on fixed scales: no Radar board ranking was cached on this server when the profile was read, so no archetype is claimed. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.
