Analytics
Yes is at 97.5%, up 23 points from 74% when the market opened on 1 Aug 2026.
Across the 87 daily closes on record from 1 Aug 2026 to 28 Oct 2026 (3 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 98.9% on 8 Oct 2026 and the lowest 74% on 1 Aug 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 96.5%; a month before, 98.1%. Its largest one-day move was 6.5 points up, to 80.5% on 2 Aug 2026.
Golden State Warriors is the favourite of the 30 outcomes in “NBA: Steph Curry Next Team”, ahead of Philadelphia 76ers at 0.9%.
$26.69K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $5.56K, with a 2.1% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 257 trades, $12.65K bought Yes and $205.35 bought No; the largest was a $2.4K buy of Yes at 93.8¢.
The largest Yes position is Bulan with 2K shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 2.8K. Ten wallets hold 76.7% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 12 Feb 2027, 107 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 28, 3:04 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 87 points, 1 Aug 2026 – 28 Oct 2026, chart shows 60%–100%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 1 Aug 2026 | 74.0% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 97.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 2.81K |
| 11122 | No | 2.12K |
| Bulan | Yes | 2K |
This market will resolve to the next team Steph Curry officially joins by February 11, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. If Stephen Curry does not officially join a new team by February 11, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Golden State Warriors”. If Stephen Curry joins a team that is not listed, this market will resolve to “Other”. If Stephen Curry is released, retires, or is not under contract with any professional team by February 11, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. An official trade announcement prior to the market’s close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official announcements from the Golden State Warriors and/or the acquiring team. A consensus of credible media reporting may also be used to resolve the market.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/nba-steph-curry-next-team-20260731023145453
18 more outcomes, none above 0.1%.
| TAIWANNUMBERONE |
| Yes |
| 1.21K |
| MoeZart | Yes | 1K |
| penguinec | No | 929.16 |
| planktonXD | No | 305.56 |
| DonSpyro | Yes | 260.94 |
| Mon676 | Yes | 203.96 |
| LornaPredicts | No | 201.96 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
