Analytics
Yes is at 3.6%, down 5.4 points from 9% when the market opened on 8 Aug 2026.
Across the 80 daily closes on record from 8 Aug 2026 to 29 Oct 2026 (3 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 53.5% on 19 Aug 2026 and the lowest 3.6% on 27 Sep 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 3.6%; a month before, 3.6%. Its largest one-day move was 37 points up, to 45.5% on 9 Aug 2026.
It is one of 30 markets under “2027 NBA Draft Lottery: 1st Pick”.
$160.34 traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $129.74, with a 6.8% gap between the best bid and the best ask.
The largest Yes position is Dr.PNL with 51 shares; the largest No position is OhneScharf with 122.
Trading closes on 2 Jun 2027.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 29, 2:46 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 80 points, 8 Aug 2026 – 29 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 8 Aug 2026 | 9.0% |
| 29 Oct 2026 | 3.6% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| OhneScharf | No | 122.34 |
| Dr.PNL | Yes | 51.17 |
| Numitus1994 | Yes | 38 |
This market will resolve based on which team holds the draft rights to the first overall pick at the conclusion of the 2027 NBA Draft Lottery. If a listed team holds another franchise's draft pick via trade at the time of the lottery, and that traded pick results in the first overall selection, the holder of the draft rights is considered the winner. If a traded pick is subject to protection (e.g., "top-5 protected"), the winner is determined by which team ultimately receives the first overall pick after all protections are applied. If the 2027 NBA Draft Lottery is postponed, not completed, or no team has been announced as the recipient of the first overall pick by June 1, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/2027-nba-draft-lottery-1st-pick
17 more markets, none above 10.6%.
| pppnn |
| Yes |
| 31.17 |
| lolzzzlol | Yes | 20 |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 18 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
